Valorant · resolved market
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36dc62889218ec3f051c189cb17ce691f0e2d051b88bc122144a7e89f551aeda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GIANTXof Eternal Fire, GIANTX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed GIANTX | 48c | 999.96$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.98 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed GIANTX | 53c | 814.98$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.04 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Eternal Fire | 51c | 701.15$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.59 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked GIANTX | 53c | 640.05$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.82 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked GIANTX | 55c | 429.49$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.76 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Eternal Fire | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed GIANTX | 51c | 122.45$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked Eternal Fire | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GIANTX | 46c | 72.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Eternal Fire | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Eternal Fire | 52c | 56.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed GIANTX | 55c | 43.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Eternal Fire | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5Over won
- Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)GIANTX won
- Valorant: Eternal Fire vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group OmegaGIANTX won
- Valorant: Eternal Fire vs GIANTX - Map 1 WinnerGIANTX won
- Valorant: Eternal Fire vs GIANTX - Map 2 WinnerGIANTX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.