Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d0f436da1da260b578a845f0305130bd02fc7b700dcd4665a6f383bfbe05d7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GIANTXof Eternal Fire, GIANTX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked GIANTX | 63c | 2,040$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.84 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed GIANTX | 59c | 2,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.01 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Eternal Fire | 41c | 1,177$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.76 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed GIANTX | 63c | 1,000$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.53 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked GIANTX | 62c | 887.98$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.43 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Eternal Fire | 38c | 853.89$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.48 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed GIANTX | 61c | 501$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.39 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Eternal Fire | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…3e7ebacked Eternal Fire | 41c | 260.46$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.79 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Eternal Fire | 42c | 252.75$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.15 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed GIANTX | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed GIANTX | 59c | 201.25$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.51 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked GIANTX | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Eternal Fire | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked GIANTX | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Eternal Fire | 42c | 97.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Eternal Fire | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Eternal Fire | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Eternal Fire | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Eternal Fire | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed GIANTX | 60c | 66.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed GIANTX | 61c | 58.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked GIANTX | 61c | 58.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed GIANTX | 66c | 56.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed GIANTX | 66c | 35.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Eternal Fire | 39c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed GIANTX | 65c | 22.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)GIANTX won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5Over won
- Valorant: Eternal Fire vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group OmegaGIANTX won
- Valorant: Eternal Fire vs GIANTX - Map 1 WinnerGIANTX won
- Valorant: Eternal Fire vs GIANTX - Map 2 WinnerGIANTX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.