CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Misa Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x199099a5b3771b60d16863625e3fffbf80ede5eaf41a949e2f3dc54f0153fe3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZ NXTof MOUZ NXT, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9572…efffbacked MOUZ NXT | 36c | 5,638$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,628.17 | 222 | 41.4%92 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Misa Esports | 54c | 3,627$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.01 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ NXT | 57c | 3,299$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.84 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Misa Esports | 36c | 1,372$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.15 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Misa Esports | 43c | 893.77$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.33 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed MOUZ NXT | 48c | 630.93$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.99 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Misa Esports | 48c | 536.01$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.65 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Misa Esports | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Misa Esports | 44c | 491.08$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.25 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Misa Esports | 29c | 481$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.65 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Misa Esports | 60c | 438$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.92 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed MOUZ NXT | 65c | 406.47$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.3 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed MOUZ NXT | 36c | 394.44$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.44 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Misa Esports | 60c | 307$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.05 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed MOUZ NXT | 47c | 290$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.79 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Misa Esports | 37c | 256.09$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.57 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Misa Esports | 54c | 230.2$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.39 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed MOUZ NXT | 39c | 225$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.4 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked MOUZ NXT | 38c | 225$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.84 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Misa Esports | 34c | 220$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Misa Esports | 63c | 210.11$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.37 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ NXT | 39c | 199.12$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.59 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed MOUZ NXT | 32c | 189.59$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.92 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Misa Esports | 66c | 180$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.2 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed MOUZ NXT | 43c | 167$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.49 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked MOUZ NXT | 36c | 167$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.33 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Misa Esports | 71c | 161.65$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.1 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed MOUZ NXT | 41c | 159.97$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.78 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Misa Esports | 56c | 150.71$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.95 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed MOUZ NXT | 40c | 137.62$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.57 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Misa Esports | 47c | 136$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.02 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked MOUZ NXT | 50c | 134.87$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.85 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -15.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ NXT | 45c | 130.23$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.08 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…514fbacked MOUZ NXT | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…5e34backed Misa Esports | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked MOUZ NXT | 61c | 99.88$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked MOUZ NXT | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Misa Esports | 66c | 79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…9abcbacked Misa Esports | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…8f14backed MOUZ NXT | 37c | 72.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 180 | 37.8%68 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed MOUZ NXT | 40c | 70.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.44 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Misa Esports | 69c | 69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked MOUZ NXT | 36c | 67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Misa Esports | 64c | 67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Misa Esports | 59c | 67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed MOUZ NXT | 34c | 62.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked MOUZ NXT | 23c | 58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…3952backed MOUZ NXT | 27c | 55.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.93 | 141 | 39.7%56 W · 85 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Misa Esports | 45c | 55.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Misa Esports | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Misa Esports | 23c | 48.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Misa Esports | 64c | 45.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Misa Esports | 53c | 42.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed MOUZ NXT | 40c | 36.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked MOUZ NXT | 30c | 34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 118 | 31.4%37 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked Misa Esports | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Misa Esports | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked Misa Esports | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 412 | 50.2%207 W · 205 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Misa Esports | 55c | 25.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…1b3abacked Misa Esports | 63c | 24.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Misa Esports | 48c | 21.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x054e…51bdbacked Misa Esports | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked Misa Esports | 58c | 18.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 333 | 62.2%207 W · 126 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Misa Esports | 61c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Misa Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group DMOUZ NXT won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Misa Esports - Map 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.