CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84bf2bff30481a8278e4ba9d85af8ef0ef50ea83c8ef7788d6359b0924a99a36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- fnaticof fnatic, Metizport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked fnatic | 57c | 7,898$4,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,368.38 | 630 | 57.1%360 W · 270 L | +40.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d8…8eafbacked fnatic | 54c | 5,591$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.95 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Metizport | 33c | 3,628$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.23 | 604 | 34.1%206 W · 398 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Metizport | 49c | 3,396$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.44 | 1,007 | 52.4%528 W · 479 L | +27.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed Metizport | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Metizport | 44c | 2,773$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.25 | 543 | 39.4%214 W · 329 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6be…a0f3backed Metizport | 12c | 2,210$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.15 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed Metizport | 46c | 1,700$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…8f14backed Metizport | 46c | 1,692$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.06 | 180 | 37.8%68 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Metizport | 47c | 1,076$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.49 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Metizport | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 357 | 39.2%140 W · 217 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…a9c7backed fnatic | 27c | 735.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.58 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked fnatic | 67c | 700$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed fnatic | 59c | 686.71$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.64 | 401 | 75.1%301 W · 100 L | +20.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked fnatic | 61c | 680.22$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.8 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed fnatic | 74c | 622$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.69 | 518 | 42.3%219 W · 299 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed fnatic | 53c | 505.8$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.46 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed fnatic | 52c | 451.95$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.96 | 660 | 72.4%478 W · 182 L | +117.6wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed fnatic | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Metizport | 44c | 398.65$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.56 | 524 | 56.3%295 W · 229 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed fnatic | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 1,314 | 44.3%582 W · 732 L | +47.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e0…413fbacked Metizport | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed Metizport | 46c | 320$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.63 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Metizport | 47c | 319.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.59 | 300 | 49.3%148 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked fnatic | 57c | 299.25$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0538…85c4backed Metizport | 33c | 250$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.58 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77c1…1527backed fnatic | 55c | 247.67$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.45 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Metizport | 50c | 220.43$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.22 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked fnatic | 28c | 217.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.65 | 188 | 46.8%88 W · 100 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked fnatic | 53c | 204.51$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.12 | 1,038 | 57.4%596 W · 442 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed fnatic | 56c | 185.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.79 | 607 | 55%334 W · 273 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked fnatic | 69c | 173.88$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.51 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae2…90afbacked Metizport | 63c | 159.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked fnatic | 42c | 157.68$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.45 | 297 | 39.4%117 W · 180 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed fnatic | 57c | 152.21$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.85 | 490 | 50.6%248 W · 242 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb5…4414backed Metizport | 56c | 132$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9b…7a35backed fnatic | 80c | 125.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…9626backed fnatic | 42c | 123.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85cd…aca5backed Metizport | 47c | 117.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Metizport | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…e7d8backed fnatic | 57c | 93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e8…f707backed Metizport | 57c | 70.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Metizport | 24c | 69.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 216 | 23.6%51 W · 165 L | -27.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked fnatic | 63c | 69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 230 | 56.1%129 W · 101 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed fnatic | 52c | 65.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked fnatic | 49c | 64.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 1,318 | 51.7%682 W · 636 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed Metizport | 51c | 63.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 260 | 46.5%121 W · 139 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa4…1211backed Metizport | 60c | 60.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Metizport | 20c | 59.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Metizport | 46c | 54.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed fnatic | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked fnatic | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 721 | 53.7%387 W · 334 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…e92bbacked fnatic | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 146 | 58.2%85 W · 61 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Metizport | 47c | 48.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…3342backed fnatic | 63c | 47.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99dd…b3cabacked fnatic | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Metizport | 45c | 41.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 519 | 49.1%255 W · 264 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Metizport | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 690 | 41.9%289 W · 401 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked fnatic | 57c | 38.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Metizport | 39c | 37.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 521 | 44.7%233 W · 288 L | -21.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked fnatic | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe22d…878fbacked fnatic | 54c | 35.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 30 | 86.7%26 W · 4 L | +7.4wins | +0.25per pick | 62cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x789a…3dfabacked fnatic | 50c | 34.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…0da4backed Metizport | 47c | 33.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 339 | 60.8%206 W · 133 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ee…0439backed Metizport | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed fnatic | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked fnatic | 56c | 26.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Metizport | 46c | 22.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 845 | 54.4%460 W · 385 L | +16.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed fnatic | 60c | 18.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9434…d8d8backed fnatic | 55c | 18.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 67cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport - Map 2 Winnerfnatic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.