CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Voca vs NRG - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a73048b33de5d014c90a3e00a2a63714c97aa519e05f2f2146d3b0abc200821
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof Voca, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked NRG | 62c | 3,104$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.86 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Voca | 36c | 1,900$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Voca | 53c | 1,800$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946 | 258 | 45.7%118 W · 140 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed NRG | 48c | 1,385$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.14 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Voca | 38c | 967.74$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.74 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked NRG | 62c | 967.74$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.74 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Voca | 50c | 911.69$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.66 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed NRG | 80c | 684.38$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.28 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Voca | 49c | 358.56$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Voca | 50c | 219.44$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.72 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Voca | 51c | 197.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed NRG | 39c | 189.17$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.56 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Voca | 57c | 120.95$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.98 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x899c…81b0backed NRG | 49c | 114.55$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…70f0backed Voca | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 428 | 31.3%134 W · 294 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed NRG | 21c | 93.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.48 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7498…8b4dbacked Voca | 69c | 87.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Voca | 34c | 81.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…9abcbacked Voca | 68c | 73.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed NRG | 62c | 59.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 446 | 54.9%245 W · 201 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Voca | 58c | 54.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…2e8ebacked NRG | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Voca | 56c | 38.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94e8…f707backed Voca | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…a9c7backed Voca | 45c | 28.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked NRG | 55c | 24.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…b2e0backed NRG | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…ce4bbacked NRG | 63c | 18.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Voca vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Voca vs NRG (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier PlayoffsNRG won
- Counter-Strike: Voca vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.