Tennis · resolved market
National Bank Open: Sara Bejlek vs Iga Swiatek
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd740bcbfbc8855cf4f7706686d5cb981d62e72d9dfcd1306a4fe91b62313860
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iga Swiatekof Sara Bejlek, Iga Swiatek
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $468,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $548,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $468,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sara Bejlek | 5c | 123,380$6,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,222.77 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Sara Bejlek | 9c | 20,592$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.31 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Sara Bejlek | 3c | 17,486$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.57 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Sara Bejlek | 3c | 9,050$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Sara Bejlek | 3c | 9,031$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.86 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sara Bejlek | 3c | 9,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Sara Bejlek | 1c | 8,290$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.41 | 105 | 31.4%33 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Sara Bejlek | 7c | 8,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.39 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Sara Bejlek | 4c | 7,493$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.08 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x552b…b570backed Sara Bejlek | 5c | 7,127$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Sara Bejlek | 11c | 6,541$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.15 | 333 | 46.2%154 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Sara Bejlek | 3c | 5,905$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Sara Bejlek | 5c | 5,737$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.71 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Sara Bejlek | 11c | 4,868$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.52 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Sara Bejlek | 11c | 4,534$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.78 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sara Bejlek | 4c | 3,872$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.64 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Sara Bejlek | 11c | 3,600$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Sara Bejlek | 6c | 3,519$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.4 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5703…1048backed Sara Bejlek | 5c | 3,181$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 107 | 29.9%32 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b96…6226backed Sara Bejlek | 3c | 2,776$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.76 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…a9c7backed Sara Bejlek | 4c | 2,224$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sara Bejlek | 7c | 2,013$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.62 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Sara Bejlek | 7c | 2,000$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…987ebacked Sara Bejlek | 6c | 1,857$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Sara Bejlek | 5c | 1,522$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.51 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Sara Bejlek | 11c | 1,260$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.59 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Sara Bejlek | 4c | 1,228$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Sara Bejlek | 5c | 1,042$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Sara Bejlek | 3c | 900$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Sara Bejlek | 10c | 775.33$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.53 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Sara Bejlek | 11c | 754$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.94 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda07…62a0backed Sara Bejlek | 3c | 720$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 248 | 58.5%145 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…1b54backed Sara Bejlek | 12c | 687.65$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Sara Bejlek | 6c | 660.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 472 | 52.1%246 W · 226 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Sara Bejlek | 3c | 660.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Sara Bejlek | 6c | 598.69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Sara Bejlek | 4c | 585.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Sara Bejlek | 11c | 531.81$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x398f…30f2backed Sara Bejlek | 5c | 499.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Sara Bejlek | 3c | 460.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 425 | 46.4%197 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Sara Bejlek | 3c | 460.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Sara Bejlek | 3c | 425.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 910 | 51%464 W · 446 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Sara Bejlek | 11c | 420$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…8d12backed Sara Bejlek | 12c | 416.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Sara Bejlek | 12c | 397.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Sara Bejlek | 3c | 393.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Sara Bejlek | 5c | 372.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Sara Bejlek | 11c | 340$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Sara Bejlek | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Sara Bejlek | 6c | 291.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 394 | 46.7%184 W · 210 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…4be3backed Sara Bejlek | 5c | 283.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Sara Bejlek | 11c | 266.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 221 | 52.9%117 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Sara Bejlek | 6c | 260.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Sara Bejlek | 13c | 256.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…b59cbacked Sara Bejlek | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 108 | 21.3%23 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x162d…8944backed Sara Bejlek | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Sara Bejlek | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Sara Bejlek | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Sara Bejlek | 10c | 226.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 188 | 29.8%56 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…739fbacked Sara Bejlek | 6c | 225$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Sara Bejlek | 7c | 190.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83bd…3f07backed Sara Bejlek | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Sara Bejlek | 11c | 180.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Sara Bejlek | 9c | 166.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47d0…59d5backed Sara Bejlek | 9c | 163.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sara Bejlek | 12c | 141.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Sara Bejlek | 11c | 120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Sara Bejlek | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Sara Bejlek | 11c | 99.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Sara Bejlek | 12c | 85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- National Bank Open: Sara Bejlek vs Iga Swiatekthis page
- Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Bejlek (+1.5)Swiatek won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.