CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: B8 Academy vs STATE (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e07ca8eba942aa6f618aad3648ebca638d01598997daed770889fad72e71e25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- STATEof B8 Academy, STATE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed B8 Academy | 27c | 730.45$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.68 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked B8 Academy | 41c | 712.87$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed STATE | 51c | 639.99$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.14 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked B8 Academy | 41c | 576.31$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.38 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…38c8backed STATE | 77c | 574.07$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.51 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed B8 Academy | 39c | 508.05$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.59 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed STATE | 73c | 379.31$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.41 | 308 | 41.6%128 W · 180 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed STATE | 74c | 378.4$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.01 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed B8 Academy | 33c | 376.71$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.66 | 343 | 56.6%194 W · 149 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f17…6001backed B8 Academy | 29c | 343.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed B8 Academy | 23c | 323.38$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…3480backed STATE | 50c | 298.3$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.3 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…7cc5backed STATE | 53c | 283.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.75 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked B8 Academy | 48c | 276.5$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.26 | 2,205 | 47.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed B8 Academy | 45c | 265.13$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.73 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked B8 Academy | 49c | 240.92$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.05 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked B8 Academy | 45c | 224.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.24 | 3,217 | 51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L | +89.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked STATE | 69c | 217.68$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.3 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…d1acbacked STATE | 48c | 210.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.11 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked STATE | 49c | 203.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.74 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed STATE | 52c | 195.91$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.91 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked STATE | 54c | 195.12$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.88 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…a9c7backed STATE | 51c | 186.66$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.66 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked STATE | 67c | 184.32$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.53 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked STATE | 45c | 179.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.16 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed B8 Academy | 37c | 173.17$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.04 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked B8 Academy | 36c | 170.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.64 | 2,770 | 37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L | -139.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed B8 Academy | 61c | 162.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 185 | 35.1%65 W · 120 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked STATE | 61c | 162.32$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked B8 Academy | 42c | 133.84$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed STATE | 76c | 131.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 225 | 67.1%151 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked STATE | 60c | 122.21$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.66 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed STATE | 50c | 120.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked B8 Academy | 50c | 118.84$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 1,318 | 51.7%682 W · 636 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed B8 Academy | 57c | 111.21$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.39 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed B8 Academy | 47c | 103.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed B8 Academy | 34c | 101.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 349 | 41.5%145 W · 204 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed B8 Academy | 24c | 100.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked B8 Academy | 49c | 100.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 746 | 33.4%249 W · 497 L | -48.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1efb…dd8abacked B8 Academy | 56c | 88.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ee…1f82backed STATE | 49c | 81.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -10.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1c…6b60backed STATE | 50c | 80.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…f2eabacked B8 Academy | 43c | 79.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20f4…8b5ebacked STATE | 50c | 78.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed B8 Academy | 24c | 74.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed B8 Academy | 41c | 73.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 327 | 46.5%152 W · 175 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f6…f28dbacked B8 Academy | 14c | 70.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed STATE | 75c | 52.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa95…5b7cbacked STATE | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked B8 Academy | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed STATE | 62c | 48.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked B8 Academy | 49c | 48.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed B8 Academy | 34c | 46.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 873 | 30.9%270 W · 603 L | -62.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked B8 Academy | 53c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed B8 Academy | 49c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 2,343 | 46.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L | -49.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264d…e4abbacked B8 Academy | 39c | 40.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…6167backed B8 Academy | 28c | 37.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked B8 Academy | 49c | 37.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed B8 Academy | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c09…319bbacked STATE | 61c | 35.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed B8 Academy | 32c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…b55fbacked B8 Academy | 42c | 32.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2de1…e01bbacked B8 Academy | 34c | 29.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…fa33backed STATE | 52c | 29.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…2d03backed STATE | 74c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked B8 Academy | 38c | 28.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 592 | 2.9%17 W · 575 L | -219.6wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.9%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xde47…cb61backed STATE | 72c | 26.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 72cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…9626backed STATE | 74c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked STATE | 63c | 25.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 312 | 39.7%124 W · 188 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked STATE | 67c | 21.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 390 | 72.3%282 W · 108 L | +37.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed STATE | 74c | 20.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked STATE | 58c | 20.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 726 | 44.4%322 W · 404 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked STATE | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 2,603 | 52.6%1,370 W · 1,233 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed B8 Academy | 57c | 18.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…5b7dbacked STATE | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…8703backed STATE | 80c | 17.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed STATE | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 519 | 69.2%359 W · 160 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: B8 Academy vs STATE (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: B8 Academy vs STATE - Map 1 WinnerB8 Academy won
- Counter-Strike: B8 Academy vs STATE - Map 2 WinnerSTATE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.