Europa Conference League · resolved market
Beşiktaş JK vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd40d3cab70d34f9b97833818eeb9992be80967ccc1f77e474afd55c58987cc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 39c | 2,919$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.29 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3705…9677backed Over | 27c | 1,870$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 72c | 1,567$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.43 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 72c | 1,497$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.94 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 74c | 1,183$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.97 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 72c | 632.3$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.04 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…317abacked Over | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 61c | 454.98$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.44 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 68c | 442.15$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.47 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Under | 71c | 425.4$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 67cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 25c | 400.39$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 28c | 283.7$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.87 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 45c | 244.04$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.22 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 24c | 211.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 32c | 204.02$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.61 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 67c | 191.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.68 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Over | 27c | 185.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Under | 66c | 148.47$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 77c | 132$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 33c | 122$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 74c | 98.65$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 73c | 69.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Under | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 80 | 70%56 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 25c | 62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Under | 63c | 61.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 71c | 54.49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 25c | 53.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 38c | 52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 36c | 42.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 48c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…0c04backed Over | 26c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 27c | 40.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 69c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 31c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 73c | 33.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Under | 54c | 30.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 79c | 20.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Under | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 68c | 17.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…7d35backed Under | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 73c | 15.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 4.5this page
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: Beşiktaş JK O/U 0.5Over won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: Beşiktaş JK O/U 1.5Over won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: Beşiktaş JK O/U 2.5Over won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: FK Kauno Žalgiris O/U 0.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: FK Kauno Žalgiris O/U 1.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 0.5Over won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 1.5Over won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 2.5Over won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 3.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)Beşiktaş JK won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)Beşiktaş JK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.