TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Beşiktaş JK vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,442
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,664

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,442 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under10c5,107$505 inLost-$504.692,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Under32c1,770$566 inLost-$566.253528.6%10 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick29cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over68c1,478$1,005 inWon+$472.8265535.6%233 W · 422 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under13c1,359$177 inLost-$177.262,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under34c969.66$329 inLost-$329.01966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+36.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over67c823.45$552 inWon+$271.7410463.5%66 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over67c700.1$469 inWon+$231.038042.5%34 W · 46 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under10c636.39$63 inLost-$63.423724.3%9 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-62.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under10c515$51 inLost-$51.41838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick30cpaid-31.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under33c514.18$169 inLost-$168.851,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under18c500$92 inLost-$926556.9%37 W · 28 L+7.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+33.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over68c441.18$300 inWon+$141.181361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Over68c325.1$221 inWon+$104.0318252.7%96 W · 86 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Over68c294.11$200 inWon+$94.121361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Over68c285.76$194 inWon+$91.4912057.5%69 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1530…6aaabacked Under13c276.92$36 inLost-$36825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-53%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under19c265.36$51 inLost-$51.283,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over66c200$132 inWon+$687958.2%46 W · 33 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under9c168$15 inLost-$15.124223.8%10 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-54.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over67c150$100 inWon+$49.7388048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5af3…1534backed Over68c147.06$100 inWon+$47.063354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Under32c140.64$45 inLost-$4513450%67 W · 67 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under33c122.98$41 inLost-$40.581,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under32c105.98$34 inLost-$33.9218732.1%60 W · 127 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under32c105.8$34 inLost-$33.8596947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over66c100$66 inWon+$3469448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under32c100$32 inLost-$3223951.5%123 W · 116 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Under33c95.41$31 inLost-$31.4912548%60 W · 65 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under25c70.8$18 inLost-$17.732436.4%118 W · 206 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over67c60$40 inWon+$2047649.4%235 W · 241 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under32c52.44$17 inLost-$16.7856849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under32c42.44$14 inLost-$13.5844156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Over66c40$26 inWon+$13.67558.7%44 W · 31 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x147c…2540backed Under32c35.99$12 inLost-$11.78755.2%48 W · 39 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under32c35.93$11 inLost-$11.555545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d22…299fbacked Over68c29.41$20 inWon+$9.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b04…403fbacked Over68c26$18 inWon+$8.323348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over67c25.95$17 inWon+$8.6866150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over66c22.53$15 inWon+$7.6625440.6%103 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed Over68c22$15 inWon+$7.046358.7%37 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over66c20$13 inWon+$6.86552.3%34 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a5…3da0backed Over68c15.38$10 inWon+$4.921963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.