TailMyPicks
Market

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Beşiktaş JK vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,459
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,821

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,459 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0ee4…276fbacked Under65c10,000$6,489 inWon+$3,510.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over35c6,254$2,172 inLost-$2,172.372,99942.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L+7.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over16c1,473$233 inLost-$233.271,61138.8%625 W · 986 L-19.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over12c1,050$126 inLost-$126.0338744.4%172 W · 215 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over28c792.63$223 inLost-$223.172,47833.9%840 W · 1,638 L-95.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Over6c757.77$46 inLost-$46.0114931.5%47 W · 102 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over12c275.94$34 inLost-$34.1918732.1%60 W · 127 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2afc…317abacked Over19c263.16$50 inLost-$501435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over14c253.14$35 inLost-$35.2265835.6%234 W · 424 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over21c162.12$33 inLost-$33.333522.4%75 W · 260 L-43.5wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over16c150$24 inLost-$2437146.4%172 W · 199 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under70c142.86$100 inWon+$42.865064%32 W · 18 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5df…b489backed Under72c138.89$100 inWon+$38.89475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1907…85b9backed Over34c114.74$39 inLost-$39.011020%2 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-48%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over14c113$16 inLost-$15.8227539.6%109 W · 166 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over17c74$12 inLost-$12.2127846.4%129 W · 149 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Over36c66.67$24 inLost-$24933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Under69c64.02$44 inWon+$19.621258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over20c52.72$10 inLost-$10.3639052.6%205 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.