TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Beşiktaş JKof Beşiktaş JK, FK Kauno Žalgiris
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,823
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,202

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,823 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed FK Kauno Žalgiris17c895.12$156 inLost-$155.663,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Beşiktaş JK68c699.66$476 inWon+$223.898042.5%34 W · 46 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed Beşiktaş JK73c554.99$405 inWon+$149.851392.3%12 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.22per pick70cpaid+30.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked FK Kauno Žalgiris33c455.71$150 inLost-$150.3827545.8%126 W · 149 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked FK Kauno Žalgiris4c452.22$20 inLost-$20.3514931.5%47 W · 102 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed FK Kauno Žalgiris32c378.13$121 inLost-$1212,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked FK Kauno Žalgiris34c211.85$73 inLost-$73.0718732.1%60 W · 127 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Beşiktaş JK69c195.12$134 inWon+$61.1318252.7%96 W · 86 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9776…d2cabacked Beşiktaş JK64c187.36$120 inWon+$67.78771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed FK Kauno Žalgiris35c145$51 inLost-$50.751442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed FK Kauno Žalgiris32c107.69$34 inLost-$34.4618940.2%76 W · 113 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed FK Kauno Žalgiris32c98.51$32 inLost-$31.7455545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked FK Kauno Žalgiris29c80.85$24 inLost-$23.6847649.4%235 W · 241 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed FK Kauno Žalgiris37c70.98$26 inLost-$26.021,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa807…cc2ebacked FK Kauno Žalgiris42c66.52$28 inLost-$28.2213839.1%54 W · 84 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed FK Kauno Žalgiris32c66$21 inLost-$21.121,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Beşiktaş JK68c50$34 inWon+$1677855%428 W · 350 L+23.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked FK Kauno Žalgiris31c49.08$15 inLost-$15.438952.7%205 W · 184 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Beşiktaş JK69c47.91$33 inWon+$14.852157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed FK Kauno Žalgiris30c44.7$13 inLost-$13.4925440.6%103 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Beşiktaş JK68c42.17$29 inWon+$13.523951.5%123 W · 116 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked FK Kauno Žalgiris32c40.6$13 inLost-$12.8891950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e56…3a1ebacked Beşiktaş JK69c36.16$25 inWon+$11.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked FK Kauno Žalgiris33c32$11 inLost-$10.5621840.4%88 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Beşiktaş JK68c29.99$20 inWon+$9.61464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad22…1e9fbacked Beşiktaş JK69c29.97$21 inWon+$9.33837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fb1…b109backed FK Kauno Žalgiris44c27.99$12 inLost-$12.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed FK Kauno Žalgiris43c25.98$11 inLost-$11.171,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Beşiktaş JK67c25$17 inWon+$8.258540%34 W · 51 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Beşiktaş JK65c20$13 inWon+$72560%15 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Beşiktaş JK68c18.38$12 inWon+$5.885356.6%30 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b04…403fbacked Beşiktaş JK70c15.36$11 inWon+$4.663348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.