Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc18f0b549eff5d98e14ba729a23b52c03ab167001d620f25e25af08c9b50be8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Beşiktaş JKof Beşiktaş JK, FK Kauno Žalgiris
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked Beşiktaş JK | 50c | 10,437$5,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,245.25 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FK Kauno Žalgiris | 47c | 6,929$3,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,285.25 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FK Kauno Žalgiris | 38c | 2,047$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.24 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed FK Kauno Žalgiris | 49c | 1,531$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.74 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked FK Kauno Žalgiris | 51c | 1,529$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.9 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Beşiktaş JK | 52c | 982.35$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.02 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Beşiktaş JK | 73c | 708.85$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Beşiktaş JK | 45c | 541.77$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.97 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Beşiktaş JK | 51c | 428.71$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.07 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…2fc0backed FK Kauno Žalgiris | 5c | 285$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked FK Kauno Žalgiris | 50c | 259.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed FK Kauno Žalgiris | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed FK Kauno Žalgiris | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FK Kauno Žalgiris | 17c | 240.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Beşiktaş JK | 40c | 201.43$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.21 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…cfbbbacked Beşiktaş JK | 51c | 190.43$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.31 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed FK Kauno Žalgiris | 53c | 168.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.56 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FK Kauno Žalgiris | 15c | 166$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Beşiktaş JK | 39c | 146.25$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked FK Kauno Žalgiris | 57c | 139$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.88 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0962…6e40backed Beşiktaş JK | 74c | 135.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…017dbacked Beşiktaş JK | 51c | 132.25$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Beşiktaş JK | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed Beşiktaş JK | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed FK Kauno Žalgiris | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed FK Kauno Žalgiris | 49c | 97.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Beşiktaş JK | 46c | 94.45$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Beşiktaş JK | 46c | 83.26$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed FK Kauno Žalgiris | 58c | 79.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed FK Kauno Žalgiris | 52c | 69.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…9626backed FK Kauno Žalgiris | 60c | 59.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed FK Kauno Žalgiris | 57c | 57.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked FK Kauno Žalgiris | 55c | 55.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked FK Kauno Žalgiris | 60c | 51.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Beşiktaş JK | 77c | 51.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed FK Kauno Žalgiris | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked FK Kauno Žalgiris | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed FK Kauno Žalgiris | 54c | 48.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed FK Kauno Žalgiris | 51c | 45.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FK Kauno Žalgiris | 56c | 44.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed FK Kauno Žalgiris | 51c | 42.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed FK Kauno Žalgiris | 55c | 39.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed FK Kauno Žalgiris | 50c | 31.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed FK Kauno Žalgiris | 50c | 31.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Beşiktaş JK | 72c | 31.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed FK Kauno Žalgiris | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…70ffbacked Beşiktaş JK | 51c | 29.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Beşiktaş JK | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…d2cabacked Beşiktaş JK | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Beşiktaş JK | 73c | 24.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed FK Kauno Žalgiris | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Beşiktaş JK | 78c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed FK Kauno Žalgiris | 56c | 19.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Beşiktaş JK | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)this page
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: Beşiktaş JK O/U 0.5Over won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: Beşiktaş JK O/U 1.5Over won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: Beşiktaş JK O/U 2.5Over won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: FK Kauno Žalgiris O/U 0.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: FK Kauno Žalgiris O/U 1.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 0.5Over won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 1.5Over won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 2.5Over won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 3.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 4.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)Beşiktaş JK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.