TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Al Hazem SC vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,755
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,222

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,755 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under72c11,983$8,623 inWon+$3,360.2419340.9%79 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over22c9,296$2,047 inLost-$2,046.522,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Over19c5,132$987 inLost-$986.971921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x45e1…5934backed Over22c3,753$816 inLost-$816.281833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over29c3,085$892 inLost-$891.6927964.9%181 W · 98 L+28.1wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over35c1,881$650 inLost-$6504027.5%11 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-39.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over23c1,828$414 inLost-$414.452015%3 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick32cpaid-57%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under77c1,244$958 inWon+$285.942,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Over19c529.95$101 inLost-$100.698440.5%34 W · 50 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Over19c492.46$92 inLost-$92.49520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-57.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over24c484$116 inLost-$115.7926348.7%128 W · 135 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over20c234.05$46 inLost-$46.366248.4%30 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over16c201.1$32 inLost-$32.181,30956.8%743 W · 566 L+66.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over15c168$25 inLost-$25.21,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Under75c145$109 inWon+$36.28143.2%35 W · 46 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Over13c100$13 inLost-$138928.1%25 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under67c92.54$62 inWon+$30.5415850%79 W · 79 L-14.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over41c87.68$36 inLost-$36.0423347.6%111 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under66c78.01$51 inWon+$26.523545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over32c62.61$20 inLost-$19.919965.3%130 W · 69 L+27.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+39.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over23c53.6$12 inLost-$12.3877056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over27c38.57$10 inLost-$10.327148%130 W · 141 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Under67c31.34$21 inWon+$10.344564.4%29 W · 16 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under52c29.79$15 inWon+$14.3158542.7%250 W · 335 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a34…a28bbacked Under67c19.16$13 inWon+$6.322544%11 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.