TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Al Hazem SC vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club: Al Diraiyah Saudi Club O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,882
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,256

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,882 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c19,029$10,593 inWon+$8,436.055,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over68c6,620$4,531 inLost-$4,531.0111764.1%75 W · 42 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Over18c3,815$700 inLost-$700.311921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2e7…91a2backed Over1c3,000$30 inLost-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0160…c757backed Over1c3,000$30 inLost-$30110%0 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e8…9490backed Over1c3,000$30 inLost-$3050%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over67c2,994$2,000 inLost-$1,999.8820769.6%144 W · 63 L+31.9wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+34.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x45e1…5934backed Over14c2,806$402 inLost-$401.971833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over15c2,722$400 inLost-$400.312015%3 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick32cpaid-57%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84d2…399bbacked Under14c2,177$301 inWon+$1,875.81333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+141.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a42…984abacked Under15c2,000$300 inWon+$1,699.99333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x693a…1417backed Under15c2,000$300 inWon+$1,699.99333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31b3…b35cbacked Under15c1,667$250 inWon+$1,416.66450%2 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+233.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fba…fd69backed Under15c1,667$250 inWon+$1,416.66333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under58c251.23$146 inWon+$105.4831960.2%192 W · 127 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under38c152.78$58 inWon+$94.62,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under50c72.8$37 inWon+$36.097553.3%40 W · 35 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over26c66.98$17 inLost-$17.0942625.8%110 W · 316 L-33.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under68c66$45 inWon+$20.9818161.9%112 W · 69 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under57c64$36 inWon+$27.5219354.4%105 W · 88 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over59c55.08$32 inLost-$32.577056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Under73c26.92$20 inWon+$7.361861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked Under61c19.03$12 inWon+$7.461735.3%6 W · 11 L-4.4wins-0.26per pick61cpaid-41.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under68c16.42$11 inWon+$5.2916659.6%99 W · 67 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.