Asian League · resolved market
Al Hazem SC vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82266073dde6bbeba7ee6fa8b44f2af206cca8d572343d2768fa85fe8617d58a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 78c | 4,323$3,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,389.64 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 21c | 3,585$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,826.9 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 2c | 3,213$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed Over | 7c | 2,116$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.26 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.99 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 29c | 1,527$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.77 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Over | 13c | 1,520$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.61 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 463.58$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.86 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 35c | 290.75$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.26 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Under | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 46c | 211.87$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.41 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 60c | 87.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 77c | 78.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 77c | 74$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Under | 31c | 64.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 43c | 54.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Over | 74c | 40.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…0178backed Over | 67c | 37.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 77c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 56c | 37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 29c | 34.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Under | 60c | 27.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 47c | 27.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Under | 47c | 25.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 49c | 20.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club: Al Diraiyah Saudi Club 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club: Al Diraiyah Saudi Club O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club: Al Diraiyah Saudi Club O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club: Al Diraiyah Saudi Club O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Al Diraiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hazem SC won
- Spread: Al Diraiyah Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Hazem SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.