Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 Men: Semen Pankin vs Drazen Petrovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f4d7cda75173f74ebd9e783376ed138d39db9639f7e29a7c5e60ee4aa6b4e10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Semen Pankinof Semen Pankin, Drazen Petrovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Drazen Petrovic | 18c | 8,197$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.24 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Drazen Petrovic | 17c | 7,564$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.46 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Drazen Petrovic | 18c | 4,488$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.47 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Drazen Petrovic | 28c | 2,467$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.28 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Drazen Petrovic | 16c | 1,875$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Drazen Petrovic | 17c | 1,800$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.5 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Semen Pankin | 71c | 1,477$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.32 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…9e12backed Drazen Petrovic | 18c | 1,389$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Semen Pankin | 70c | 955.8$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.8 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Drazen Petrovic | 17c | 819$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.23 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Drazen Petrovic | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Drazen Petrovic | 19c | 589.63$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.03 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ce…aceebacked Semen Pankin | 59c | 450$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.95 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Semen Pankin | 79c | 434.38$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.96 | 277 | 53.4%148 W · 129 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Drazen Petrovic | 19c | 374.6$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.68 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Drazen Petrovic | 17c | 294$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Drazen Petrovic | 19c | 293.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Drazen Petrovic | 18c | 290$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Drazen Petrovic | 23c | 247.27$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Drazen Petrovic | 45c | 222.31$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.04 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Drazen Petrovic | 15c | 196.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Semen Pankin | 55c | 182.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.03 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Drazen Petrovic | 20c | 178.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Drazen Petrovic | 14c | 173.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d827backed Semen Pankin | 76c | 140.01$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed Semen Pankin | 74c | 134.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Drazen Petrovic | 15c | 127.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Drazen Petrovic | 15c | 110.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Drazen Petrovic | 21c | 104.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Drazen Petrovic | 18c | 102$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…fc25backed Drazen Petrovic | 19c | 86.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Drazen Petrovic | 28c | 76.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Drazen Petrovic | 24c | 73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 447 | 58.8%263 W · 184 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Semen Pankin | 69c | 59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Drazen Petrovic | 21c | 57.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 226 | 51.8%117 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Semen Pankin | 75c | 20.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…a2adbacked Semen Pankin | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…f02dbacked Semen Pankin | 70c | 19.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc40…6ae3backed Semen Pankin | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.