TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-08-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,662
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,908

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,662 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e3e…f882backed No59c9,227$5,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,443.676239.2%299 W · 463 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No60c6,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60012545.6%57 W · 68 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes47c5,909$2,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,155.525,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes42c3,282$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,903.4835947.4%170 W · 189 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x298b…f406backed Yes48c2,891$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No58c2,103$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.671,74950.7%887 W · 862 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes41c2,000$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,19039649.7%197 W · 199 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes41c1,962$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.2538849.5%192 W · 196 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No57c1,253$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.022,52039.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes40c1,234$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.3130731.9%98 W · 209 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes41c1,000$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5951,11649.5%552 W · 564 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes41c821.99$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.482,45637.9%931 W · 1,525 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No6c809.44$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6593535.2%329 W · 606 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes40c575.48$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.691,76650.2%887 W · 879 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes40c490.4$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.4184342.2%356 W · 487 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No52c470$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.43070%21 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed No22c457.51$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.574040%16 W · 24 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+50.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6779…2ff6backed No58c433.63$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed No54c425$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.52040%8 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes50c418.62$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.8614440.3%58 W · 86 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No12c388.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1327337%101 W · 172 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed No61c309.99$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.091566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes42c307$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.117742.4%75 W · 102 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes29c231$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.1584347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dd9…5d16backed No6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x47fc…973cbacked No57c199.97$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No57c199.94$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9721552.1%112 W · 103 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d1d…f2dfbacked Yes78c184$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.761735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-49.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes43c154.08$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.541,23549.9%616 W · 619 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes76c146.54$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6826136.8%96 W · 165 L-18.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed No58c142.86$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.862060%12 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d29…65e7backed Yes37c140$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.22458.3%14 W · 10 L+6.4wins+0.26per pick32cpaid+88%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes67c139.12$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.811637.5%6 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+90.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b03…b127backed Yes41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.952142.9%9 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93f9…9ccbbacked No33c120.12$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes42c120.01$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7054746.8%256 W · 291 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Yes43c115.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.112759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed No59c112.16$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.172161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes29c104.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.312766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xa5fd…6f17backed Yes39c99.98$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.79955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+65.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked No61c98.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes43c93.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.024450%22 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed No59c84.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.215164.7%33 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes32c79.89$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0682053.8%441 W · 379 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee9c…c449backed Yes43c79.11$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.432962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked No23c78.46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.397037.1%26 W · 44 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes42c72.9$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2814840.5%60 W · 88 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x739b…417ebacked No57c68.77$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes72c67.07$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0328247.9%135 W · 147 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes48c64.51$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8211861.9%73 W · 45 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes48c64$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3518261.5%112 W · 70 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes71c63.12$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1824747%116 W · 131 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1e5…c5dfbacked No57c61.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x970a…7c41backed Yes42c55$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No30c54.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2942725.8%110 W · 317 L-34.1wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-40.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes78c52.21$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.551,03541.6%431 W · 604 L-33.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes79c51.9$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.96248.4%30 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No58c51.03$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.681,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes41c51$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0917151.5%88 W · 83 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Yes41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.788439.3%33 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes42c46.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9828253.5%151 W · 131 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2439…3ed7backed Yes43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.511963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Yes42c37.4$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.613953.8%21 W · 18 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes35c34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1324448.4%118 W · 126 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a34…a28bbacked Yes40c32.83$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.72544%11 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Yes51c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.567852.6%41 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes41c31.6$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.632060%192 W · 128 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x35aa…7bd0backed Yes75c30.95$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.81070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed No59c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.79966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15cc…f871backed No58c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a85…e543backed Yes40c28.34$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.934959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x81e5…7ea4backed No58c26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31df…a49ebacked No58c25.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed No59c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.759851%50 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Yes43c24.49$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.962552%13 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Yes55c24.36$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.851861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No63c20.64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0437153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed No63c20.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0325155.8%140 W · 111 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed No58c20.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.814860.4%29 W · 19 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+28.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5180…9cf1backed No59c20.34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed No58c20.19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.816368.3%43 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.415054%81 W · 69 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Yes60c18.76$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4616659.6%99 W · 67 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf0…092dbacked No59c18.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df6…aae6backed No57c18.15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.27425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-68.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.