Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29457e24b2b1d51cbb86afed4e1cbd52e4d3f52541c8950df7a84f5d4e183bc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FCof Wolverhampton Wanderers FC, Preston North End FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 24c | 2,345$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.75 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Preston North End FC | 75c | 2,171$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.95 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Preston North End FC | 75c | 1,541$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.24 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Preston North End FC | 75c | 1,013$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.37 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Preston North End FC | 65c | 460.73$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.08 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 35c | 415.17$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.86 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 27c | 256$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.88 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 28c | 245.92$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.82 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Preston North End FC | 63c | 238$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.45 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 170 | 62.4%106 W · 64 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 50c | 164$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.47 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 26c | 159.32$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.89 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 29c | 128$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.34 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Preston North End FC | 76c | 108.53$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.48 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Preston North End FC | 49c | 53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Preston North End FC | 76c | 47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 60c | 41.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 27c | 39.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Preston North End FC | 76c | 26.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Preston North End FC | 68c | 20.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Preston North End FC | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Preston North End FC | 76c | 16.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)this page
- Preston North End FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Preston North End FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Preston North End FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Preston North End FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Preston North End FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Preston North End FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Preston North End FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Preston North End FC (-1.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-2.5)Preston North End FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.