Premier League · resolved market
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27c4a05778899ecf9c9c88119b2e0ad3d299d79108ff9c55e4d00e3bdc9f4824
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 51c | 4,007$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,043.63 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 49c | 2,699$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.78 | 953 | 32.5%310 W · 643 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 2,518$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.55 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Over | 49c | 1,835$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.86 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 52c | 1,128$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.47 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 50c | 1,104$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.91 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 1,075$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.05 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 989.48$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.63 | 755 | 42.3%319 W · 436 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 494.69$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.36 | 578 | 47.8%276 W · 302 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4939…9adebacked Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f90…7f51backed Over | 51c | 350.75$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 49c | 171.75$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.42 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Over | 47c | 135.84$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.35 | 214 | 48.6%104 W · 110 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 49c | 105.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 49c | 99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.06 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 51c | 72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 812 | 34.7%282 W · 530 L | -24.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 552 | 54.5%301 W · 251 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 49c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Over | 49c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Over | 49c | 39.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 49c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 48c | 37.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 696 | 51.1%356 W · 340 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Over | 49c | 36.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 51c | 36.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 541 | 32.9%178 W · 363 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 51c | 34.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 52c | 34.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…2f76backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Under | 54c | 29.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 51c | 28.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…1de0backed Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 60c | 21.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Middlesbrough FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-1.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Spread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-2.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5)Blackburn Rovers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.