TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Charlotte FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,808
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,634

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,808 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04d5…66d8backed Over39c74,999$29,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,871.524261.9%26 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under61c21,647$13,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,236.3999340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c19,392$11,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,877.973,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under62c4,362$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.981,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under61c4,191$2,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,556.5171443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under61c3,500$2,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,13526345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under69c3,410$2,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,346.121,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under61c3,326$2,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,043.191,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under62c3,225$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.521547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under61c3,000$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,83052639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under61c1,994$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.3435550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b25…7a69backed Under61c1,837$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.57862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under62c1,764$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.784348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over17c1,515$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.138246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Over39c1,500$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9153234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-24.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over36c1,421$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.0622841.7%95 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked Over41c1,340$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.8614657.5%84 W · 62 L+14.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under61c1,301$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.616349.2%31 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under61c1,228$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.9520043%86 W · 114 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under61c1,224$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.6272850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under61c1,191$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.3810042%42 W · 58 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Over40c1,145$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.472755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under61c845.83$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.9636247.2%171 W · 191 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under61c775.05$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.7839435.8%141 W · 253 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under60c751.85$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.116250%31 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa71d…9854backed Over40c721.42$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.852860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under17c631.35$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.149437.2%35 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under62c478.04$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.621,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under61c424$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.4810257.8%59 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under61c378.96$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.97256.9%41 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under61c376.7$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.1914957.7%86 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac6…db45backed Over40c375$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under64c352.35$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.268550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Under61c345.69$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.873435.3%12 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under64c325$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.6191553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under60c322.42$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.4513948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Over40c260$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1563751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under62c217.12$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.615558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under66c213.37$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.2168150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under64c202.72$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.7455750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Over52c196$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.0819960.8%121 W · 78 L+22.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Over52c196$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.3316856%94 W · 74 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Under61c189.16$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.084050%20 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a41…f527backed Over40c178.57$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.142055%11 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Under66c170.76$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.74755.3%26 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b84…6e9bbacked Under61c170.49$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick68cpaid-48.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed Over40c150$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Over39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.212458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Over39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.215068%34 W · 16 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b94…09dcbacked Over39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.212060%12 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under63c125.42$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.461,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Under61c122.95$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebf3…50a8backed Over40c119.04$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.421758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under62c115$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.747240.7%192 W · 280 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…f409backed Under61c111.98$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.31933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under67c99.89$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7582044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under62c81.56$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9620449%100 W · 104 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Under66c75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.55549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a34…a28bbacked Under64c73.21$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3513844.9%62 W · 76 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8210…1942backed Under50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under62c65.59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4716948.5%82 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Under61c65.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.683844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under66c64$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2427047%127 W · 143 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under61c63.38$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.669654.2%52 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over76c58$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.921442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under64c57.63$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7316456.7%93 W · 71 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1fd…9994backed Over37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.051560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under62c50.81$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.52650%13 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf21d…2e9abacked Over57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Under60c49.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.857149.3%35 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x884b…c480backed Under61c49.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x232f…8002backed Over40c49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.41457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Under62c48.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9519852.5%104 W · 94 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Under61c48.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.812458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10af…2d06backed Over40c47.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.571338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under64c47.53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.46558.5%38 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over42c43.06$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1928721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over60c41.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6496756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under61c40.84$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5703…ad74backed Over25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+100%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under61c39.1$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8512848.4%62 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Over65c38.03$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3110273.5%75 W · 27 L+13.5wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+28.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked Under40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed Under61c35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.351127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d1a…ff69backed Under61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under33c32.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.822646.2%12 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.17per pick29cpaid+512.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8e17…2412backed Under62c32.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed Over40c28.57$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.142060%12 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b04…403fbacked Under61c27.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.861752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58d3…5651backed Over40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df0…1376backed Over40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x256a…8fb4backed Over40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+34.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd97…ae50backed Under64c23.51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.971090%9 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick64cpaid+45.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under63c20.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1323350.6%118 W · 115 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87e8…2ef1backed Under61c17.18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.