TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Charlotte FC vs. D.C. United SC: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,161
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,257

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,161 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf588…04fabacked Over42c11,156$4,700 inLost-$4,700933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under57c3,192$1,826 inWon+$1,365.511854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under58c2,818$1,634 inWon+$1,183.446250%31 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under59c2,741$1,623 inWon+$1,117.841,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under56c890.12$498 inWon+$391.6552639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under79c555.82$438 inWon+$118.211,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under58c477.25$277 inWon+$200.391,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over41c325$133 inLost-$133.2535550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under57c230$131 inWon+$98.913948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c129.25$77 inWon+$51.793,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under56c100$56 inWon+$4417751.4%91 W · 86 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under58c96.97$56 inWon+$40.733151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under56c88$49 inWon+$38.7280249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under57c71.28$41 inWon+$30.6536247.2%171 W · 191 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under61c64.02$39 inWon+$25.0868150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Under60c60$36 inWon+$245549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Under57c52.63$30 inWon+$22.637149.3%35 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaf3…2286backed Under60c34.67$21 inWon+$13.871866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under60c32$19 inWon+$12.827047%127 W · 143 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under59c30$18 inWon+$12.316456.7%93 W · 71 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed Under61c24.82$15 inWon+$9.68666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.