Mls · resolved market
Charlotte FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x217aaa7cd5e4d0c60035441d51a5b17b9dad7a4ada2381e4296534f828bbeb30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04d5…66d8backed Over | 61c | 3,331$2,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.98 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 39c | 3,239$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.37 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 65c | 2,183$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.92 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Over | 35c | 1,254$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.93 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 49c | 1,102$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.98 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.24 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…38f6backed Over | 44c | 909.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 35c | 845.86$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.81 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 58c | 732.18$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.01 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 56c | 659.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.59 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 40c | 628.62$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.45 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 42c | 585.8$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.18 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 58c | 571.04$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.91 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 41c | 439.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.49 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 42c | 375.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.91 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 39c | 223.12$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.52 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 27c | 145.39$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.48 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 40c | 122.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 43c | 106$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 43c | 106$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 41c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 38c | 94.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 41c | 92.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 61c | 76.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Over | 62c | 64.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 43c | 64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0962…6e40backed Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 62c | 53.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 39c | 52.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…34d6backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 42c | 49.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 40c | 48.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 60c | 47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 28c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 40.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 75c | 37.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Under | 43c | 37.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…e3fcbacked Over | 67c | 33.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 75c | 22.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 76c | 22.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Under | 77c | 20.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 57c | 18.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Charlotte FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 2.5this page
- Charlotte FC vs. D.C. United SC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Charlotte FC vs. D.C. United SC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Charlotte FC vs. D.C. United SC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Charlotte FC vs. D.C. United SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Charlotte FC vs. D.C. United SC: Charlotte FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. D.C. United SC: Charlotte FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. D.C. United SC: Charlotte FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. D.C. United SC: D.C. United SC O/U 1.5Under won
- Charlotte FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Charlotte FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Charlotte FC (-1.5)Charlotte FC won
- Spread: Charlotte FC (-2.5)D.C. United SC won
- Spread: D.C. United SC (-1.5)Charlotte FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.