TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Charlotte FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,057
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,752

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,057 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over80c564.36$449 inWon+$115.238246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under33c435.18$142 inLost-$142.151,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under5c373$19 inLost-$18.654757.4%27 W · 20 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+31.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over75c363$272 inWon+$91.4892346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under17c315.64$55 inLost-$54.519641.3%81 W · 115 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under13c225.54$30 inLost-$30.341,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5247…ece7backed Over50c200$100 inWon+$100955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Over80c177.44$142 inWon+$35.4910273.5%75 W · 27 L+13.5wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+28.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5630…6ca8backed Over62c161.29$100 inWon+$61.293568.6%24 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over50c156.26$78 inWon+$78.131,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Over80c138.75$111 inWon+$27.754755.3%26 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked Over45c131$58 inWon+$72.5414657.5%84 W · 62 L+14.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under38c125.54$48 inLost-$47.7123350.6%118 W · 115 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under31c103.55$32 inLost-$32.382044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under20c94.51$18 inLost-$18.473,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under55c91$50 inLost-$50.051442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under20c80.28$16 inLost-$16.0668150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked Under30c66.73$20 inLost-$20.023231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Over80c50.44$40 inWon+$10.096558.5%38 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under27c49.06$13 inLost-$13.3499340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed Over46c43.48$20 inWon+$23.481361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under38c35.75$14 inLost-$13.5946156.2%259 W · 202 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over75c25$19 inWon+$6.2544350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over68c24.36$17 inWon+$7.8319852.5%104 W · 94 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over59c19.12$11 inWon+$7.896756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.