Tennis · resolved market
ITF W35 Erwitte Women: Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Milena Steinkamp
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x819661fb4b820190f79a89d6b86bc6d35f201109cf39f339ac0cfbc6d0a9409f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joelle Lilly Sophie Steurof Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur, Milena Steinkamp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 70c | 7,835$5,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,337.59 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Milena Steinkamp | 36c | 2,600$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milena Steinkamp | 31c | 2,104$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.84 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Milena Steinkamp | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Milena Steinkamp | 25c | 1,458$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.43 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Milena Steinkamp | 14c | 1,224$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.98 | 178 | 18%32 W · 146 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Milena Steinkamp | 13c | 1,156$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.22 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 75c | 1,002$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.5 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Milena Steinkamp | 30c | 981.21$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.81 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 67c | 895.52$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.52 | 92 | 67.4%62 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 64c | 863.13$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.23 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Milena Steinkamp | 30c | 622.58$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.38 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Milena Steinkamp | 33c | 512.86$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.19 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 62c | 435$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.7 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 78c | 432.9$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.62 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Milena Steinkamp | 23c | 358.3$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.31 | 277 | 49.1%136 W · 141 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Milena Steinkamp | 35c | 345.64$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.63 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Milena Steinkamp | 31c | 182.27$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.98 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Milena Steinkamp | 25c | 181.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Milena Steinkamp | 25c | 181.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Milena Steinkamp | 8c | 170.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 77c | 166.23$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 64c | 159.35$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.77 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Milena Steinkamp | 25c | 146.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 73c | 135.48$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 67c | 128.39$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Milena Steinkamp | 25c | 77.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Milena Steinkamp | 25c | 77.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Milena Steinkamp | 14c | 74.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 62c | 64.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 425 | 46.4%197 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 60c | 54.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 67c | 51.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 67c | 44.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 63c | 39.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Milena Steinkamp | 39c | 33.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 374 | 60.4%226 W · 148 L | +29.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Milena Steinkamp | 37c | 30.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 355 | 58.6%208 W · 147 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 59c | 30.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…fd9dbacked Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 76c | 26.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.