Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Hradec Králové vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cb8c948ef6a2517c721d009970d395821f654bdd53681ee13febdfe0f4116f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 4,198$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.02 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…e5f5backed Under | 39c | 3,638$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.58 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 53c | 1,996$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.9 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 1,948$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.68 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 18c | 1,941$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.2 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Over | 75c | 1,332$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.57 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa518…47e6backed Under | 25c | 799.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 50c | 791.5$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.72 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 576.93$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.88 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…e7e0backed Over | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 47c | 282.98$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.98 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked Under | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 39c | 245.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.79 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 28c | 235.37$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.46 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…e253backed Under | 36c | 117.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 65c | 108.9$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.31 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 65c | 108.9$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.31 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +69%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed Over | 64c | 92.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 25c | 78.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 29c | 58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 57c | 42.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 88 | 69.3%61 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 48c | 33.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Over | 39c | 32.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x731c…cf5fbacked Over | 40c | 29.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 71c | 28.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Over | 64c | 23.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Hradec Králové vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Hradec Králové vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Hradec Králové vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Hradec Králové vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Hradec Králové vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Hradec Králové vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 5.5Under won
- FC Hradec Králové vs. Tromsø IL: Team to AdvanceFC Hradec Králové won
- FC Hradec Králové vs. Tromsø IL: Tromsø IL O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: FC Hradec Králové (-1.5)FC Hradec Králové won
- Spread: FC Hradec Králové (-2.5)Tromsø IL won
- Spread: Tromsø IL (-1.5)FC Hradec Králové won
- Spread: Tromsø IL (-2.5)FC Hradec Králové won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.