TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

FC Hradec Králové vs. Tromsø IL: Team to Advance

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
FC Hradec Královéof FC Hradec Králové, Tromsø IL
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,915
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,962

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,915 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Tromsø IL36c702.57$252 inLost-$2521,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked FC Hradec Králové64c647.73$415 inWon+$233.1897846.2%452 W · 526 L-3.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed FC Hradec Králové67c591.67$399 inWon+$192.761,04650.2%525 W · 521 L+28.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Tromsø IL33c355$117 inLost-$117.157440.5%30 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Tromsø IL36c302.69$108 inLost-$108.4166250.6%335 W · 327 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x822b…61fdbacked FC Hradec Králové64c300$192 inWon+$108250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Tromsø IL31c245.88$77 inLost-$77.42245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked FC Hradec Králové68c181.88$124 inWon+$58.22,99942.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L+7.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdf9…3ddbbacked FC Hradec Králové63c157.81$100 inWon+$57.81757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Tromsø IL36c127.98$46 inLost-$46.071,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked FC Hradec Králové65c127$82 inWon+$459858.2%57 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Tromsø IL34c125.13$43 inLost-$42.8469548.9%340 W · 355 L+19.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked FC Hradec Králové65c108$70 inWon+$38.333271.9%23 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed FC Hradec Králové64c104.3$67 inWon+$37.552564%16 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Tromsø IL36c69.44$25 inLost-$2513046.9%61 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Tromsø IL37c46.94$17 inLost-$17.3479554.1%430 W · 365 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed FC Hradec Králové70c39$27 inWon+$11.738744.4%172 W · 215 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0aa7…8332backed FC Hradec Králové64c31.25$20 inWon+$11.251030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.