Mls · resolved market
Chicago Fire FC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1957cb6c0e931517270e6e61f5780dec8127f404c83638e311add87cfd07e2a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 68c | 5,525$3,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.84 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 47c | 3,814$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.66 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.99 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 2,483$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.18 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Over | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 32c | 1,191$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.8 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 64c | 1,022$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.71 | 126 | 67.5%85 W · 41 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed Under | 55c | 899.63$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 45c | 803$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.35 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Under | 62c | 792.14$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.83 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 29c | 721$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.09 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 38c | 698.55$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.97 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…8148backed Over | 45c | 555$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…121cbacked Over | 45c | 544.96$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.23 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…e7e0backed Over | 57c | 526.34$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 30c | 339.06$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.72 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 31c | 289.01$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.26 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 56c | 233$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.52 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 39c | 202$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.01 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 44c | 185.36$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.56 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 46c | 171.64$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.95 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0846…b540backed Over | 43c | 168$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 50c | 149.55$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 51c | 123$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 50c | 118.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 23c | 112.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 54c | 110.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 42c | 105.14$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.79 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 49c | 103.62$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 44c | 88.68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 67c | 79$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 48c | 78.89$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 36c | 77.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under | 55c | 72.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 47c | 69.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 35c | 67.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 45c | 63.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 40c | 48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…1cf3backed Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +40%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Over | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 55c | 38.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 45c | 37.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…08f0backed Over | 45c | 30.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…6716backed Under | 55c | 30.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…167dbacked Under | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 40c | 29.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 55c | 27.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 55c | 24.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 78c | 21.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3509…9e45backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Fire FC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Chicago Fire FC vs. Charlotte FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Chicago Fire FC vs. Charlotte FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Chicago Fire FC vs. Charlotte FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chicago Fire FC vs. Charlotte FC: Charlotte FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Chicago Fire FC vs. Charlotte FC: Charlotte FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Chicago Fire FC vs. Charlotte FC: Charlotte FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Chicago Fire FC vs. Charlotte FC: Chicago Fire FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Chicago Fire FC vs. Charlotte FC: Chicago Fire FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Chicago Fire FC vs. Charlotte FC: Chicago Fire FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Chicago Fire FC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Chicago Fire FC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chicago Fire FC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Chicago Fire FC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Chicago Fire FC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Fire FC (-1.5)Charlotte FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.