TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Chicago Fire FC vs. Charlotte FC: Charlotte FC O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,360
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,368

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,360 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x014c…38ccbacked Over36c277.78$100 inLost-$1008853.4%47 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under68c174.68$119 inWon+$55.613,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over33c157.39$52 inLost-$51.949652.1%50 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under64c142.26$91 inWon+$51.2152923.8%126 W · 403 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Over31c127.22$39 inLost-$39.446145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under47c118.74$56 inWon+$62.591,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under67c117.12$78 inWon+$38.981,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3309…209dbacked Under69c96.07$66 inWon+$29.78475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+29%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x259b…a2d3backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost-$502516%4 W · 21 L-6.0wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-65.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over31c79.99$25 inLost-$24.85525.5%14 W · 41 L-9.9wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-44.6%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over32c78.75$25 inLost-$25.24751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4438…f659backed Under68c66.33$45 inWon+$21.452835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under65c39$25 inWon+$13.651,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x91e7…6716backed Under69c28.99$20 inWon+$8.991050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under65c27.31$18 inWon+$9.4416456.7%93 W · 71 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8041…fc83backed Under69c25$17 inWon+$7.752462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+31.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.