Champions League · resolved market
FK Borac Banja Luka vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e88016fae7e4adda52f45ac50b27dea8ac9da0436cb718c564c33ca943de479
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 2,977$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.07 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 69c | 2,895$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.06 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 28c | 1,418$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.14 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d9…708dbacked Over | 78c | 1,209$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 19c | 1,032$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.1 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 75c | 377.43$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 30c | 369.92$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.74 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 67c | 365.95$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.2 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 74c | 246.52$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.52 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 70c | 215.61$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.46 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 22c | 167.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…8679backed Over | 69c | 165.26$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 66c | 120$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Under | 22c | 116.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 16c | 113.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 79c | 96$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec39…6a5dbacked Over | 62c | 78.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Under | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Under | 21c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 34c | 45.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 33c | 44.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…da2fbacked Under | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 47cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 33c | 37.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…c118backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 67c | 19.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 67c | 15.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Borac Banja Luka vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 1.5this page
- FK Borac Banja Luka vs. PFK Levski Sofia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FK Borac Banja Luka vs. PFK Levski Sofia: FK Borac Banja Luka O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Borac Banja Luka vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Borac Banja Luka vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Borac Banja Luka vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Borac Banja Luka vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 4.5Under won
- FK Borac Banja Luka vs. PFK Levski Sofia: PFK Levski Sofia O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Borac Banja Luka vs. PFK Levski Sofia: PFK Levski Sofia O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: FK Borac Banja Luka (-1.5)PFK Levski Sofia won
- Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5)FK Borac Banja Luka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.