Champions League · resolved market
FK Borac Banja Luka vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3299cc59dfd9a2ab659d464bc68c0157c384d8bfe9f0f8fbb26d497090ef5ec4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 43c | 6,249$2,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,665 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 6,060$3,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.65 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 2,735$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.22 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 25c | 1,300$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 61c | 1,020$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.17 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 34c | 440.75$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.97 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Under | 65c | 356.62$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.23 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 71c | 350$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 64c | 315.42$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.69 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 58c | 306.12$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.81 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 42c | 262.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.18 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Under | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +78%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 40c | 168$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 59c | 149.97$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.48 | 178 | 48.9%87 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 40c | 132.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.39 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 59c | 116.1$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Over | 23c | 108.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 38c | 101.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 45c | 90.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 39c | 89.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 36c | 88.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4029…05d3backed Over | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Over | 39c | 79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 46c | 78.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x834c…593abacked Over | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Over | 32c | 59.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 59c | 56.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 59c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -7.9wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 59c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Under | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 40c | 42.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Over | 59c | 39.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Under | 71c | 34.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Over | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbb…a5f9backed Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Under | 62c | 23.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 44c | 23.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 57c | 20.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over | 63c | 19.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb24…ebd0backed Under | 65c | 19.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 58c | 19.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Under | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Borac Banja Luka vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 2.5this page
- FK Borac Banja Luka vs. PFK Levski Sofia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FK Borac Banja Luka vs. PFK Levski Sofia: FK Borac Banja Luka O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Borac Banja Luka vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Borac Banja Luka vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Borac Banja Luka vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Borac Banja Luka vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 4.5Under won
- FK Borac Banja Luka vs. PFK Levski Sofia: PFK Levski Sofia O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Borac Banja Luka vs. PFK Levski Sofia: PFK Levski Sofia O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: FK Borac Banja Luka (-1.5)PFK Levski Sofia won
- Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5)FK Borac Banja Luka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.