Champions League · resolved market
Larne FC vs. Tre Fiori FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ce31c3d5dc761ff0ca6ae14e7769a037fb02a61cdb3fa8ee164a7c898c1dc19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef84…6872backed Over | 2c | 8,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 64c | 4,550$2,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.43 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 1,780$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.87 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 1,488$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.42 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 39c | 1,233$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.31 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Under | 44c | 961.65$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.81 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 39c | 641.44$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.67 | 230 | 31.7%73 W · 157 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…ca87backed Over | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa981…ab19backed Over | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 38c | 599.33$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.75 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 6c | 574.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 54c | 555.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 36c | 542.36$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.11 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 40c | 489.03$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.54 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 40c | 375.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.06 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 59c | 363.87$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.05 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 71c | 287.2$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.29 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Over | 41c | 271.26$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.9 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Under | 54c | 255.33$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.98 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…1080backed Over | 40c | 252.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 62c | 201$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.38 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 62c | 200.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.38 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 62c | 200.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.38 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 57c | 179.58$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.46 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 35c | 179.24$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.38 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Over | 35c | 165.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…825cbacked Under | 61c | 163.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 58c | 158.23$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.95 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…2715backed Over | 52c | 149.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.84 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +71%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 39c | 146.44$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.68 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Under | 48c | 145$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.15 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 44c | 143.7$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.62 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 54c | 124.77$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.88 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…004dbacked Under | 15c | 120$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 39c | 119$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 40c | 105$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefd6…ca34backed Under | 53c | 101.66$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 43c | 96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 39c | 92.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 22c | 85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 61c | 83.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 63c | 75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -7.9wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Under | 48c | 60.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Over | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 52c | 55.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 39c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 61c | 44.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 66c | 43.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 42c | 42.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 48c | 40.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 47c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -9.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 69c | 31.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 34c | 31.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -14.3wins | -0.38per pick | 40cpaid | -94.7%equal weight | 25-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 47c | 31.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Under | 61c | 31.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 65c | 30.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Over | 69c | 28.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 73c | 24.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 62c | 24.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Under | 61c | 24.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 79c | 22.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 59c | 17.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Under | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Under | 72c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Larne FC vs. Tre Fiori FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Larne FC vs. Tre Fiori FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Larne FC vs. Tre Fiori FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Larne FC vs. Tre Fiori FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Larne FC vs. Tre Fiori FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Larne FC vs. Tre Fiori FC: Larne FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Larne FC vs. Tre Fiori FC: Larne FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Larne FC vs. Tre Fiori FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Larne FC vs. Tre Fiori FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Larne FC vs. Tre Fiori FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Larne FC vs. Tre Fiori FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Larne FC vs. Tre Fiori FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Larne FC vs. Tre Fiori FC: Tre Fiori FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Larne FC vs. Tre Fiori FC: Tre Fiori FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Larne FC (-1.5)Tre Fiori FC won
- Spread: Larne FC (-2.5)Tre Fiori FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.