Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kalmar FF vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25b4276f89278790f057b0d8b41511ced3efcd137f529689fb193d889428b29a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 567.77$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.67 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Under | 75c | 395$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.75 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 37c | 375.68$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 49c | 181.63$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…38d6backed Over | 39c | 163.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.93 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 75c | 114.12$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 85 | 70.6%60 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 23c | 73.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 40c | 48.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Over | 59c | 40.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 63c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 37c | 32.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…cda7backed Under | 75c | 26.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 63c | 23.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 65c | 17.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Under | 75c | 16.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kalmar FF vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 3.5this page
- Kalmar FF vs. Orgryte IS: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Kalmar FF vs. Orgryte IS: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kalmar FF vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kalmar FF vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 2.5Over won
- Kalmar FF vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kalmar FF vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kalmar FF vs. Orgryte IS: Orgryte IS O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Kalmar FF (-1.5)Kalmar FF won
- Spread: Kalmar FF (-2.5)Kalmar FF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.