Tennis · resolved market
Segovia: Florent Bax vs Paul Inchauspe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf95809b326dcf1ae5b03d6c1cd84d16900cb6394f8a7fff40a88b110a19ab9ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paul Inchauspeof Florent Bax, Paul Inchauspe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c14…5a2bbacked Florent Bax | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Florent Bax | 10c | 14,373$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.34 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Florent Bax | 9c | 10,074$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.92 | 282 | 21.6%61 W · 221 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41cf…6002backed Florent Bax | 8c | 6,684$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.39 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Florent Bax | 6c | 4,841$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.61 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Paul Inchauspe | 66c | 3,167$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.58 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Florent Bax | 3c | 2,932$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.83 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Florent Bax | 4c | 2,292$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.68 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Paul Inchauspe | 58c | 2,081$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.07 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Paul Inchauspe | 79c | 2,046$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.24 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Florent Bax | 17c | 1,562$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.97 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Florent Bax | 7c | 1,394$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.34 | 196 | 26%51 W · 145 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Paul Inchauspe | 74c | 1,007$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.37 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Florent Bax | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Florent Bax | 5c | 533.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 381 | 41.2%157 W · 224 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93f…3c12backed Florent Bax | 44c | 505$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Florent Bax | 9c | 291$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Paul Inchauspe | 58c | 236.9$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.44 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Florent Bax | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…1e9fbacked Florent Bax | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 42.2%92 W · 126 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Florent Bax | 40c | 212.73$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.09 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Florent Bax | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.26 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Paul Inchauspe | 73c | 157$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed Florent Bax | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Paul Inchauspe | 70c | 132.14$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Paul Inchauspe | 58c | 131.27$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.18 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Florent Bax | 43c | 128.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Florent Bax | 17c | 123.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 482 | 42.5%205 W · 277 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…f311backed Paul Inchauspe | 59c | 84.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Paul Inchauspe | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Florent Bax | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00c…4820backed Florent Bax | 17c | 65.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed Florent Bax | 41c | 62.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 313 | 47.6%149 W · 164 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…9c5cbacked Paul Inchauspe | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Florent Bax | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Florent Bax | 42c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2180…df40backed Florent Bax | 43c | 46.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…b70dbacked Florent Bax | 43c | 35.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…1988backed Florent Bax | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6384…3d67backed Florent Bax | 43c | 33.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Florent Bax | 43c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeedc…d4c0backed Paul Inchauspe | 60c | 26.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 148 | 70.3%104 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…1fd2backed Paul Inchauspe | 73c | 25.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 169 | 64.5%109 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Paul Inchauspe | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 587 | 50.4%296 W · 291 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Paul Inchauspe | 80c | 24.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x420f…9090backed Paul Inchauspe | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5419…d3f8backed Paul Inchauspe | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.