TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
EDward Gamingof EDward Gaming, JD Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,968
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,366

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,968 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed JD Gaming4c5,191$183 inLost-$182.9493649.3%461 W · 475 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed JD Gaming14c2,766$386 inLost-$386.142035%147 W · 273 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed JD Gaming13c1,777$231 inLost-$2316428.1%18 W · 46 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-32%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed JD Gaming9c1,441$131 inLost-$131.0546526.7%124 W · 341 L-25.8wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed JD Gaming14c1,116$156 inLost-$156.2432241.9%135 W · 187 L-15.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed JD Gaming16c1,111$178 inLost-$177.7533942.2%143 W · 196 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed JD Gaming7c1,095$77 inLost-$76.671,28132.1%411 W · 870 L-67.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed JD Gaming18c1,000$180 inLost-$18032445.4%147 W · 177 L+51.8wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+39.8%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked JD Gaming15c930.63$143 inLost-$142.5725536.9%94 W · 161 L-0.9wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked JD Gaming12c801.72$99 inLost-$98.6715232.9%50 W · 102 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b17…d36dbacked JD Gaming17c648.42$110 inLost-$1101931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-47.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed JD Gaming8c630.53$52 inLost-$52.3415347.1%72 W · 81 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18e0…9534backed JD Gaming11c564.63$60 inLost-$59.6550%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked JD Gaming17c472$80 inLost-$80.247234.7%25 W · 47 L-11.0wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-33.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked JD Gaming18c470.68$85 inLost-$84.724818.8%9 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed JD Gaming11c464$51 inLost-$51.049046.7%42 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed JD Gaming13c423.61$55 inLost-$55.0727146.9%127 W · 144 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed JD Gaming9c320.38$29 inLost-$29.0849455.3%273 W · 221 L+23.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked JD Gaming15c300$45 inLost-$45.217653.4%94 W · 82 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c9a…805cbacked JD Gaming17c286.3$49 inLost-$49.44728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8412…55f3backed JD Gaming16c242.78$38 inLost-$381330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5c…cf81backed JD Gaming15c234.21$35 inLost-$3550%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked JD Gaming15c200$30 inLost-$3034247.7%163 W · 179 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked JD Gaming9c185.22$17 inLost-$16.5121136.5%77 W · 134 L-15.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked JD Gaming12c167.92$20 inLost-$203345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked JD Gaming12c145.31$17 inLost-$16.8757550.6%291 W · 284 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b3…4a99backed JD Gaming18c138.89$25 inLost-$253036.7%11 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed JD Gaming12c129.91$16 inLost-$15.737545.6%171 W · 204 L-1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed JD Gaming12c120.47$14 inLost-$14.4133838.5%130 W · 208 L-21.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed JD Gaming15c117.65$18 inLost-$17.652846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked JD Gaming17c111.66$19 inLost-$18.539040%36 W · 54 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xabe6…2faebacked JD Gaming17c103.9$18 inLost-$17.542951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91e5…0947backed JD Gaming16c100$16 inLost-$161631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-37.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed JD Gaming18c54.29$10 inLost-$10.0443943.7%192 W · 247 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.