Valorant · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45c4cd81b30ddd49e312cf181d685c26b93e1001b8e3eca120b7dff4fc4d8e9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 35c | 695.13$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.3 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Under | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -7.2wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Over | 36c | 499.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 15c | 276.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 62c | 147.68$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.12 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 38c | 147.68$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 36c | 133.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 23c | 131.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 66c | 117.65$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Over | 34c | 113.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 176 | 40.3%71 W · 105 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 65c | 102.46$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2e…3ceabacked Over | 33c | 83.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed Over | 37c | 69.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fb…e716backed Under | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 75c | 45.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 63c | 43.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 64c | 41.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d1…c0dabacked Over | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-4.5) vs JD Gaming (+4.5)JD Gaming won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-3.5) vs JD Gaming (+3.5)EDward Gaming won
- Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)EDward Gaming won
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group AlphaEDward Gaming won
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming - Map 1 WinnerEDward Gaming won
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming - Map 2 WinnerEDward Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.