Asian League · resolved market
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c1811a43b77276dad5b42ba30b8dbf6f8ea08a077085062abcacc79b8542154
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21d5…442bbacked Over | 73c | 2,729$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.33 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 2,053$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.16 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 27c | 1,136$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.79 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 29c | 984.16$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.9 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 26c | 758.73$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.27 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.99 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 486.87$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.02 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 40c | 449.94$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.42 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 74c | 379.39$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.39 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 44c | 375.72$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.97 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 40c | 266.45$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.87 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 50c | 234.43$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.22 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 67c | 207.85$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.85 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 42c | 192.26$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.24 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 31c | 149.42$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.1 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +7.1wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 75c | 148.85$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Over | 59c | 142.37$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.37 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 86 | 67.4%58 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 28c | 95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 27c | 79.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 27c | 73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0255…4eb0backed Over | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 28c | 49.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 48c | 47.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Under | 57c | 43.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0297…e67fbacked Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Over | 71c | 14.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeju SK FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeju SK FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.