Asian League · resolved market
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3766a2a788d3849146f29a7931b7373c4ae81097b083e0bbb2e5cd014fd0ff6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 47c | 13,826$6,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,498.37 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 5,206$2,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,341.45 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 3,164$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.02 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 53c | 2,203$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.46 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 694.75$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.66 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 53c | 471$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.37 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 53c | 470.6$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.18 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 53c | 469.25$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.55 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 53c | 451.08$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.01 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 427.18$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.28 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 53c | 380$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.6 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 46c | 309.2$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.23 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 62c | 301.35$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.21 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff0…53a1backed Over | 14c | 289.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over | 49c | 243.45$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.29 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…7f11backed Over | 44c | 222.64$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 56c | 221.59$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.7 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…4feebacked Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae4…011ebacked Under | 54c | 184.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 138$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d5…53bfbacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 52c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 62c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Under | 51c | 75.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb6…f3fabacked Under | 54c | 72.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Over | 42c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…afcbbacked Under | 54c | 65.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Under | 51c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 54c | 56.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e8…9a47backed Over | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Under | 53c | 33.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66bd…8c04backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 47c | 25.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeju SK FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeju SK FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.