Other European Leagues · resolved market
IFK Goteborg vs. AIK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x738b6a25c4056f4af3bce190102fb84a6bcb529253d6c62a8cc3fa69dc92f003
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9243…658ebacked Under | 45c | 32,810$14,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,724.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 11,840$6,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,304.09 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 8,410$4,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,782.95 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 55c | 7,183$3,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,216.81 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.94 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 56c | 1,949$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.77 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…24e8backed Under | 49c | 1,873$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 56c | 1,750$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.37 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 76c | 1,406$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.33 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Under | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Under | 14c | 710$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 55c | 651.96$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.38 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 55c | 500.78$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.35 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 55c | 454$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.3 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 55c | 454$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.3 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 55c | 454$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.3 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 35c | 418.11$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.34 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574f…6849backed Over | 73c | 413.32$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Under | 46c | 326.08$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 42c | 296.96$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.26 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 55c | 270.22$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.6 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 54c | 249.26$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.66 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 55c | 244.24$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.39 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 65c | 242.69$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.83 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 57c | 236.12$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.33 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbe…8807backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa410…f61fbacked Over | 57c | 198.56$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 55c | 177.34$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.18 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…be69backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 57c | 174.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.9 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…004dbacked Under | 10c | 140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 50c | 133.9$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +8.2wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Over | 56c | 131.8$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.6 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 60c | 131.64$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.16 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 60c | 125.51$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 36c | 122.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 52c | 119.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.19 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Over | 56c | 107.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.49 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…f040backed Under | 10c | 102.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b42…7cbebacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 55c | 89.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 55c | 87.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 49c | 71.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over | 55c | 60.53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 62c | 59.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 62c | 57.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 23 | 91.3%21 W · 2 L | +8.9wins | +0.39per pick | 52cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x98fe…ffa7backed Over | 75c | 52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 57c | 48.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 55c | 41.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 273 | 60.8%166 W · 107 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 43c | 39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Under | 35c | 35.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed Over | 55c | 29.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 66c | 28.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 64c | 26.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Over | 54c | 26.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2176…bc30backed Over | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce6…9d69backed Over | 58c | 25.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad6…eed6backed Over | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Over | 70c | 21.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Over | 56c | 21.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -8.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IFK Goteborg vs. AIK: O/U 2.5this page
- IFK Goteborg vs. AIK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- IFK Goteborg vs. AIK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- IFK Goteborg vs. AIK: AIK O/U 1.5Over won
- IFK Goteborg vs. AIK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- IFK Goteborg vs. AIK: O/U 0.5Over won
- IFK Goteborg vs. AIK: O/U 1.5Over won
- IFK Goteborg vs. AIK: O/U 3.5Under won
- IFK Goteborg vs. AIK: O/U 4.5Under won
- IFK Goteborg vs. AIK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AIK (-1.5)IFK Goteborg won
- Spread: AIK (-2.5)IFK Goteborg won
- Spread: IFK Goteborg (-1.5)AIK won
- Spread: IFK Goteborg (-2.5)AIK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.