Other European Leagues · resolved market
IFK Goteborg vs. AIK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b87d0e1a97394039197131a568562dcdbe28cfb69b9faf40705e2329afa1fdf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 537.4$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.84 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddeb…83f3backed Over | 41c | 389.21$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 35c | 388.57$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 70c | 381.29$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.04 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 34c | 315.74$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.35 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 315.72$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.65 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed Over | 30c | 292.8$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.14 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 48c | 282.5$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.65 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 66c | 270.26$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.89 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 73c | 209.32$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.72 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 53c | 166.42$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.42 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed Over | 33c | 151.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 67c | 141.81$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 33c | 129.04$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d71…ca3ebacked Under | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 35c | 97.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 33c | 92.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 28c | 70.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e09…2d11backed Over | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 68c | 56.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 37c | 52.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 49c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…105dbacked Under | 65c | 41.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 65c | 40.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 273 | 60.8%166 W · 107 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x818e…a1e3backed Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over | 37c | 39.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 65c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 32c | 34.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -17.3wins | -0.28per pick | 33cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked Over | 31c | 33.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 40c | 28.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 65c | 24.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 65c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 72c | 20.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44eb…48c6backed Under | 67c | 20.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IFK Goteborg vs. AIK: O/U 3.5this page
- IFK Goteborg vs. AIK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- IFK Goteborg vs. AIK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- IFK Goteborg vs. AIK: AIK O/U 1.5Over won
- IFK Goteborg vs. AIK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- IFK Goteborg vs. AIK: O/U 0.5Over won
- IFK Goteborg vs. AIK: O/U 1.5Over won
- IFK Goteborg vs. AIK: O/U 2.5Over won
- IFK Goteborg vs. AIK: O/U 4.5Under won
- IFK Goteborg vs. AIK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AIK (-1.5)IFK Goteborg won
- Spread: AIK (-2.5)IFK Goteborg won
- Spread: IFK Goteborg (-1.5)AIK won
- Spread: IFK Goteborg (-2.5)AIK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.