Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Kawa vs Badosa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ecb8d9ba25538293fd879e910c1951733407d9994ce84446ec1022c08e5c6c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Badosaof Kawa, Badosa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x565c…878dbacked Kawa | 51c | 2,192$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.35 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Badosa | 56c | 1,160$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.74 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Badosa | 64c | 1,000$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.07 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kawa | 40c | 892.53$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.93 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Kawa | 28c | 714.4$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.71 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc779…8e4fbacked Badosa | 61c | 621.31$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.31 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Kawa | 38c | 555.95$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.26 | 182 | 61.5%112 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…fab1backed Kawa | 42c | 527$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.88 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Badosa | 64c | 450.24$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.65 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Kawa | 48c | 384.02$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.31 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2b…0900backed Kawa | 45c | 326.67$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…a690backed Badosa | 62c | 284.52$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.12 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Kawa | 53c | 274.64$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.56 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Badosa | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Badosa | 74c | 215$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Badosa | 41c | 210$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.9 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…767dbacked Badosa | 62c | 201.19$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.45 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Badosa | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed Badosa | 41c | 190$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.1 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Badosa | 41c | 180$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 155 | 36.8%57 W · 98 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…b707backed Kawa | 31c | 179.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 111 | 26.1%29 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Badosa | 54c | 179.12$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.79 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Kawa | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Badosa | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6aa…4e0ebacked Kawa | 45c | 128$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Badosa | 63c | 104.76$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Kawa | 40c | 100.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Kawa | 41c | 96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Badosa | 58c | 86.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfe…9257backed Kawa | 42c | 76.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…ddd3backed Badosa | 65c | 62.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Badosa | 54c | 59.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Kawa | 41c | 55.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 263 | 55.1%145 W · 118 L | +36.9wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Kawa | 35c | 54.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 710 | 21.3%151 W · 559 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Kawa | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b2…aea0backed Badosa | 65c | 49.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa2…f1f1backed Kawa | 45c | 48.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…e330backed Kawa | 41c | 47.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 433 | 47.3%205 W · 228 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Badosa | 63c | 47.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Badosa | 59c | 44.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 435 | 53.1%231 W · 204 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Kawa | 37c | 41.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d43…f54ebacked Badosa | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Badosa | 54c | 36.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea5…6c53backed Kawa | 46c | 34.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 218 | 48.2%105 W · 113 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Kawa | 36c | 31.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 441 | 38.8%171 W · 270 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Badosa | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Badosa | 63c | 26.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Badosa | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 425 | 45.6%194 W · 231 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Badosa | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Kawa vs Badosathis page
- Hamburg European Open: Completed Match: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula BadosaYes won
- Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula BadosaPaula Badosa won
- Katarzyna Kawa vs. Paula Badosa: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Kawa vs. Badosa: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Kawa vs. Badosa: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Kawa vs. Badosa: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Kawa vs. Badosa: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Set 2 Winner: Kawa vs BadosaBadosa won
- Set Handicap: Badosa (-1.5) vs Kawa (+1.5)Badosa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.