Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Hive - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cc0233d3394eda5660b0489303ba0627216e5cb172733127792c66b441fb155
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ilbirs eSportsof Ilbirs eSports, Hive
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Hive | 51c | 9,155$4,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,668.15 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Hive | 49c | 8,816$4,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,330.58 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Ilbirs eSports | 50c | 4,596$2,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.48 | 263 | 51%134 W · 129 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ilbirs eSports | 50c | 3,577$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.97 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Hive | 52c | 3,321$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.89 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 53c | 1,926$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.25 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Ilbirs eSports | 53c | 1,353$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.91 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…4b4abacked Hive | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Ilbirs eSports | 36c | 1,131$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.6 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Ilbirs eSports | 48c | 1,128$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.27 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Ilbirs eSports | 48c | 1,052$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.57 | 889 | 38%338 W · 551 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Hive | 52c | 1,034$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.75 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ilbirs eSports | 51c | 1,000$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.42 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 52c | 901.79$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.83 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa5…4859backed Ilbirs eSports | 48c | 748$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.96 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x615d…bd5bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 48c | 583.3$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.32 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed Ilbirs eSports | 48c | 555.3$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.76 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Ilbirs eSports | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.25 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…cec3backed Ilbirs eSports | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Ilbirs eSports | 56c | 402.78$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.24 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Ilbirs eSports | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Ilbirs eSports | 49c | 353.79$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.43 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ilbirs eSports | 40c | 328.59$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.73 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Ilbirs eSports | 46c | 328.22$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.23 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…5facbacked Hive | 51c | 319.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.44 | 268 | 48.9%131 W · 137 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ilbirs eSports | 46c | 318.87$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.58 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Hive | 52c | 308$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.16 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed Hive | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Ilbirs eSports | 48c | 298.01$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.03 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Ilbirs eSports | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x350d…1d30backed Hive | 11c | 199.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1afd…427ebacked Ilbirs eSports | 46c | 195.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.91 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Ilbirs eSports | 39c | 168.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.53 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Ilbirs eSports | 42c | 158.94$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.52 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…11b8backed Ilbirs eSports | 51c | 156.43$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.02 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Ilbirs eSports | 49c | 152.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.69 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Ilbirs eSports | 43c | 148$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.25 | 675 | 46.1%311 W · 364 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Hive | 17c | 133$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccf…cd14backed Ilbirs eSports | 49c | 120.35$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Ilbirs eSports | 53c | 112.38$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 907 | 53.7%487 W · 420 L | +50.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked Hive | 44c | 112.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 40c | 112.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.19 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Hive | 12c | 112$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Hive | 46c | 110.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 381 | 59.1%225 W · 156 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Ilbirs eSports | 50c | 103.28$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.79 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Ilbirs eSports | 47c | 102.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Ilbirs eSports | 48c | 102.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.14 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed Ilbirs eSports | 48c | 101.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa091…f1c1backed Ilbirs eSports | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Hive | 57c | 99.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Hive | 50c | 99.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 272 | 59.2%161 W · 111 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Ilbirs eSports | 48c | 91.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Ilbirs eSports | 48c | 90.6$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Ilbirs eSports | 49c | 82.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Ilbirs eSports | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 364 | 52.5%191 W · 173 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked Hive | 40c | 75.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 285 | 47.4%135 W · 150 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Ilbirs eSports | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked Hive | 34c | 72.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Ilbirs eSports | 45c | 71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 49c | 68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Hive | 76c | 66.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 137 | 64.2%88 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Ilbirs eSports | 50c | 64.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 217 | 69.1%150 W · 67 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Ilbirs eSports | 48c | 63.91$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 402 | 42.3%170 W · 232 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Hive | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Hive | 54c | 59.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | +24.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Hive | 52c | 56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Ilbirs eSports | 48c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Ilbirs eSports | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Ilbirs eSports | 41c | 48.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…12e4backed Hive | 29c | 48.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Ilbirs eSports | 41c | 46.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Hive | 59c | 46.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 44c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Hive | 44c | 45.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Ilbirs eSports | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Ilbirs eSports | 41c | 42.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed Ilbirs eSports | 48c | 42.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Ilbirs eSports | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Hive | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7560…1ee1backed Hive | 29c | 37.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 211 | 33.6%71 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Ilbirs eSports | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Hive | 50c | 30.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…e4f5backed Hive | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Ilbirs eSports | 41c | 29.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…88dfbacked Ilbirs eSports | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d98…1c46backed Ilbirs eSports | 47c | 22.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Ilbirs eSports | 49c | 22.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Hive | 52c | 20.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 289 | 51.9%150 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Hive | 59c | 20.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 326 | 6.4%21 W · 305 L | -101.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x8569…2267backed Ilbirs eSports | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb09f…6382backed Hive | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Hive - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Hive (BO3) - European Pro League PlayoffsIlbirs eSports won
- Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Hive - Game 2 WinnerIlbirs eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.