Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Hive - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33c9fe263bad1faec6ade950089d494954f3ca992d4bccf7b9691e9f13c44ee7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ilbirs eSportsof Ilbirs eSports, Hive
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Ilbirs eSports | 69c | 10,085$6,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,111.99 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Ilbirs eSports | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.97 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Hive | 38c | 4,354$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.48 | 263 | 51%134 W · 129 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2526…218ebacked Ilbirs eSports | 66c | 3,661$2,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Ilbirs eSports | 61c | 3,563$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.18 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Ilbirs eSports | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.97 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hive | 37c | 2,962$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.9 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Hive | 62c | 2,860$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.54 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Hive | 31c | 2,558$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.08 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Hive | 39c | 2,342$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.57 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81c3…d67dbacked Ilbirs eSports | 64c | 1,430$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.33 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Hive | 36c | 1,245$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.7 | 889 | 38%338 W · 551 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Hive | 36c | 1,223$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.95 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Hive | 44c | 1,214$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.03 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Hive | 49c | 1,101$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.79 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Hive | 31c | 999.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Hive | 34c | 897.56$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.68 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Hive | 38c | 877$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.26 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Hive | 48c | 800$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.6 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed Hive | 38c | 795.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…cde0backed Hive | 51c | 540$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.4 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 70c | 515.08$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.43 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hive | 43c | 484.86$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.42 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Hive | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Hive | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Hive | 51c | 394$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.94 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Hive | 38c | 356$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.28 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Hive | 65c | 341.24$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.81 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Hive | 45c | 332.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.3 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Ilbirs eSports | 63c | 319.96$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.38 | 581 | 56.6%329 W · 252 L | +27.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed Ilbirs eSports | 64c | 299.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Hive | 61c | 297.1$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.89 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Hive | 38c | 267$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.46 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Hive | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Hive | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Hive | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 402 | 42.3%170 W · 232 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a12…a9a7backed Hive | 38c | 225.86$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.83 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Hive | 28c | 223.59$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.01 | 675 | 46.1%311 W · 364 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Hive | 43c | 221.41$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.14 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e41…37acbacked Hive | 75c | 213.72$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4994…3e36backed Hive | 20c | 210.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +19.9wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Hive | 70c | 210.25$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.39 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…88e5backed Hive | 21c | 201.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…b7bfbacked Ilbirs eSports | 45c | 199.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…11b8backed Hive | 54c | 195.21$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.88 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Hive | 68c | 179.85$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.81 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Hive | 67c | 169.58$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.62 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eef…44a0backed Hive | 65c | 154.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…ac81backed Hive | 46c | 141$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…6ac5backed Hive | 75c | 133.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 75%39 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Hive | 41c | 123.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 907 | 53.7%487 W · 420 L | +50.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Hive | 34c | 119.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 364 | 52.5%191 W · 173 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Ilbirs eSports | 69c | 113.9$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 272 | 59.2%161 W · 111 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…f616backed Ilbirs eSports | 27c | 112.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Hive | 42c | 103.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Hive | 38c | 103.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked Hive | 48c | 103.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Hive | 66c | 101.7$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.82 | 217 | 69.1%150 W · 67 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Hive | 42c | 100.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1afd…427ebacked Hive | 44c | 97.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Hive | 45c | 97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hive | 58c | 92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 785 | 41.7%327 W · 458 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Ilbirs eSports | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | +24.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Hive | 55c | 79.71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Hive | 23c | 74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Hive | 44c | 71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 634 | 47.6%302 W · 332 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Ilbirs eSports | 43c | 69.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked Hive | 44c | 68.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 285 | 47.4%135 W · 150 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dba…6929backed Ilbirs eSports | 44c | 67.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Ilbirs eSports | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked Hive | 38c | 64.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…d8d6backed Ilbirs eSports | 26c | 63.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.93 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Hive | 48c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0188…afc3backed Ilbirs eSports | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Ilbirs eSports | 67c | 59.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 381 | 59.1%225 W · 156 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Hive | 31c | 59.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Hive | 47c | 58.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Ilbirs eSports | 72c | 56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Hive | 48c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…a552backed Ilbirs eSports | 62c | 54.84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 182 | 53.3%97 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Hive | 30c | 52.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…e95dbacked Ilbirs eSports | 37c | 51.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Hive | 48c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…7262backed Hive | 59c | 42.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Ilbirs eSports | 77c | 38.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Hive | 55c | 37.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 326 | 6.4%21 W · 305 L | -101.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Hive | 47c | 36.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Hive | 68c | 36.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed Hive | 37c | 34.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7560…1ee1backed Hive | 34c | 32.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 211 | 33.6%71 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Hive | 44c | 31.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…88f6backed Hive | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…e4f5backed Ilbirs eSports | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hive | 66c | 26.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0297…e67fbacked Hive | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Hive - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Hive (BO3) - European Pro League PlayoffsIlbirs eSports won
- Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Hive - Game 1 WinnerIlbirs eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.