Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2062792ccc6470e1a43a4d1fa69d20192908c1da4ce7e3e519a51372c23675e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38c5…22d8backed Under | 68c | 3,557$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405.76 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…5e3fbacked Over | 48c | 1,400$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.54 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…1688backed Over | 18c | 838.91$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.3 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 10c | 782.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.22 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 29c | 687$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.45 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 24c | 621.2$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.53 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 72c | 617$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.82 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Under | 79c | 521.98$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.54 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 29c | 487.86$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.38 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 22c | 395.11$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.59 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 69c | 369.97$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.28 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 70c | 346.55$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.28 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 30c | 335.04$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.53 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 20c | 334.86$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.79 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…38d6backed Over | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Under | 13c | 230.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 49c | 222.65$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.65 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1411…631dbacked Over | 26c | 195.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +313.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 6c | 173$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 65c | 167.82$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.63 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 72c | 150.57$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.51 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Under | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e68…fcb9backed Over | 20c | 133.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.12 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Over | 17c | 119.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.24 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +10.9wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3e09…2d11backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef87…e853backed Over | 70c | 98.55$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 56c | 95.22$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Under | 69c | 93.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 57c | 89.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 86.3$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 70c | 80$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…97f1backed Over | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 46c | 61.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 565 | 45.5%257 W · 308 L | -24.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Over | 20c | 55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…2bafbacked Over | 46c | 53.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 38c | 52.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b42…7cbebacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 69c | 49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cd…2c85backed Under | 76c | 47.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Over | 42c | 45.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 70c | 41.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 1,464 | 35.6%521 W · 943 L | -33.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…b2cebacked Over | 50c | 40.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 71c | 38.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over | 28c | 35.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 70c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 39c | 34.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 89 | 6.7%6 W · 83 L | -22.4wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 66c | 17.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Under | 71c | 16.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Zhejiang Zhiye FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.