Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd14db246b3460d3939af82eea5a56446519972ebd4b61c26608096a6341c9b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zhejiang Zhiye FCof Shanghai Shenhua FC, Zhejiang Zhiye FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 60c | 589.58$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.59 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf851…ef53backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 38c | 228.45$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 62c | 215$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…a0aabacked Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 60c | 196.56$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…447cbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 61c | 169.41$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 39c | 169.41$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.34 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83bf…8aa4backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 73c | 141.17$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 24c | 137.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 64c | 113.98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 25c | 71.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x39af…1174backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 61c | 69.15$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 35c | 69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 61c | 59.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 64c | 54.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbb…a8c2backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 38c | 53.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 40c | 44.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…bd24backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 78c | 38.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0926…3903backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 40c | 32.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)this page
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Zhejiang Zhiye FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.