Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6941e199429236cc5540134f01e0299fbf4840a8982c6e28be487d48f042b224
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 2,352$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.42 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 70c | 1,752$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.92 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 61c | 1,047$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.03 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 2c | 1,037$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 29c | 451.37$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.88 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 32c | 428.03$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4e…c662backed Under | 31c | 199.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +40%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 70c | 154.45$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…cc4cbacked Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 71c | 117.05$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 28c | 77.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 30c | 65.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 68c | 62.46$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 30c | 58.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 80c | 54.75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…674cbacked Over | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 71c | 49.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b3…d0eebacked Under | 31c | 45.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Over | 61c | 41.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 68c | 36.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 29c | 36.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Over | 70c | 32.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Under | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc14f…0ee1backed Over | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…7ba3backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 66c | 19.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 70c | 15.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Over | 70c | 15.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Over | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Over | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.77 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Zhejiang Zhiye FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.