Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96db3e678a33ccdb1b087f70ba65197387aff5e6f5f4ce5ffc5187c58cc9283e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 20c | 417.34$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.47 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 69c | 242.15$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.15 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 19c | 202.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 188.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 72c | 115.42$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 42c | 78.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3905…3af3backed Under | 30c | 50.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Over | 72c | 48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Over | 74c | 45.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Over | 73c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Over | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Over | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Zhejiang Zhiye FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.