Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Žalgiris Vilnius win on 2026-07-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10eabef9d319a5ccfe9b0e8a11284124dfd9932c1ac27f29971a658f09d24a24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 39c | 9,999$3,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,874.35 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 78c | 3,419$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.89 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Yes | 45c | 2,490$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.52 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 44c | 2,144$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.59 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Yes | 44c | 1,896$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.68 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 1,423$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.69 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 55c | 1,378$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.1 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cc…3a42backed Yes | 73c | 1,091$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.23 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 49c | 895.75$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.39 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1582…e47ebacked Yes | 47c | 857.08$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Yes | 39c | 762.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.82 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +143.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 52c | 670.63$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.27 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 59c | 505$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.08 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 37c | 387$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.76 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204a…a4eabacked No | 18c | 353$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 45c | 344.59$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.17 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 25c | 261.26$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 55c | 253.28$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.52 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…43aabacked Yes | 48c | 249.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 54c | 180$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 54c | 180$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed No | 63c | 180$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.14 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 54c | 180$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 54c | 175.09$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.77 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 55c | 142.6$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.57 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 44c | 109.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.13 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3e…0b87backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Yes | 46c | 97.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed No | 56c | 87.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 54c | 79.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed No | 26c | 77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 53c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 73c | 74.06$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 55c | 69.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 70c | 68.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 54c | 66.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed No | 18c | 55.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 31c | 54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 56c | 53.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…0ebdbacked Yes | 49c | 51.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 53c | 49.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 55c | 49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Yes | 35c | 48.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 51c | 48.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 54c | 46.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…2581backed Yes | 38c | 46.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Yes | 37c | 41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -7.5wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 46c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa62f…c949backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 52c | 29.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 43c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…b22cbacked Yes | 44c | 23.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 69 | 73.9%51 W · 18 L | +19.0wins | +0.28per pick | 46cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yes | 77c | 17.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Yes | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Žalgiris Vilnius win on 2026-07-09?this page
- Will OFK Petrovac vs. FK Žalgiris Vilnius end in a draw?No won
- Will OFK Petrovac win on 2026-07-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.