Europa Conference League · resolved market
Astana FK vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd71a9936e271e3d179541c8db4304af37e5bd56af91e216823c1d8c99c29ba99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Over | 72c | 10,269$7,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,858.06 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 26c | 5,888$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.7 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1556…b722backed Over | 51c | 2,881$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 42c | 2,749$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.65 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 2,297$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.9 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 41c | 1,224$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.04 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over | 62c | 682.03$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.43 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 66c | 576.72$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.63 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 49c | 470.73$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.19 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 28c | 400$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3e…0b87backed Over | 56c | 356.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.73 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 47c | 312.45$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.22 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 44c | 285.9$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.8 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 51c | 285.33$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.9 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 269.66$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.62 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 51c | 249.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.49 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 43c | 240.91$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.59 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 52c | 214.42$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.92 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x395c…ad6fbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab7d…d04bbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Under | 49c | 190.34$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.64 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 48c | 183.03$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.37 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Under | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 47c | 126.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Under | 46c | 119.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 45c | 116.49$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…da2fbacked Under | 58c | 109.86$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.72 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf887…db68backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc27d…9587backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4e…c662backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Under | 46c | 98.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 33c | 86.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 53c | 83.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece6…b10cbacked Over | 66c | 74.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 46c | 74.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 51c | 73.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc59c…6b58backed Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 53c | 70.85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 51c | 67.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Under | 41c | 66.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Over | 51c | 63.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 56c | 55.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Over | 64c | 55.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 45c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 53c | 47.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 45.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 45c | 39.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 55c | 37.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -15.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 54c | 33.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 53c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7af2…8483backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 45c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 40c | 26.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -11.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Under | 44c | 22.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 56c | 22.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over | 66c | 16.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Astana FK vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 2.5this page
- Astana FK vs. FC Dinamo City: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Astana FK vs. FC Dinamo City: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Astana FK vs. FC Dinamo City: Astana FK O/U 0.5Over won
- Astana FK vs. FC Dinamo City: Astana FK O/U 1.5Under won
- Astana FK vs. FC Dinamo City: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Astana FK vs. FC Dinamo City: FC Dinamo City O/U 0.5Over won
- Astana FK vs. FC Dinamo City: FC Dinamo City O/U 2.5Under won
- Astana FK vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 0.5Over won
- Astana FK vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 1.5Over won
- Astana FK vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 3.5Under won
- Astana FK vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 4.5Under won
- Astana FK vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Astana FK (-1.5)FC Dinamo City won
- Spread: Astana FK (-2.5)FC Dinamo City won
- Spread: FC Dinamo City (-1.5)Astana FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.