TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Beijing Guoan FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,188
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,283

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,188 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c4,915$2,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,577.335,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over64c3,126$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003360.6%20 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick71cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over2c3,043$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.83336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over36c2,857$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.632,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under31c2,500$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,724.696845.6%31 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1556…b722backed Over52c2,167$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.661631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.986453.1%34 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over1c1,822$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.225740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over3c1,596$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.711225%3 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-62.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under21c1,472$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.8812639.7%50 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under28c1,350$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.931,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f9c…df69backed Over58c1,108$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.62714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick51cpaid-68.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over78c1,031$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.732,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over66c1,029$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.982,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54c4…caaebacked Over54c926.02$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.27per pick50cpaid+67.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under27c750$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.59441.5%39 W · 55 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f39…311abacked Over50c748$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3742445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+80%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under48c615.1$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.853574.3%26 W · 9 L+8.7wins+0.25per pick49cpaid+52.2%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under56c558.42$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.652360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over62c505.03$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.56642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked Over69c463.13$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.483164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over35c450.38$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1586950.7%35 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x210a…1080backed Over51c422.96$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.911060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Over68c367.65$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under30c344.65$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.831,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Over45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1358928.1%25 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under32c299.77$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.1818644.6%83 W · 103 L-0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over12c236.06$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5221652.3%113 W · 103 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b50…ef4cbacked Over9c229.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+49%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over6c228$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.089339.8%37 W · 56 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+50.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under50c226.54$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.737153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over70c214.28$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.993852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over46c199.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9960%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under63c197.48$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.244369.8%30 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+18.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under39c194.18$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.972853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over69c186$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.766454.7%35 W · 29 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over70c179.54$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.0374739.4%294 W · 453 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Over12c177$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.38520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked Over25c174.52$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.638953.9%48 W · 41 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under58c163.29$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.172748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under30c139.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9914446.5%67 W · 77 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b3e…0b87backed Over73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over8c135.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8826136.8%96 W · 165 L-18.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b27…0b98backed Under77c129.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.952962.1%18 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over70c125.78$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0511849.2%58 W · 60 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbf…c53cbacked Over79c124.13$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.06742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over40c104.97$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2256445.4%256 W · 308 L-25.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cee…4191backed Under25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Over69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.938667.4%58 W · 28 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016350.9%83 W · 80 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Under25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753834.2%13 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4915035.3%53 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Over69c89.46$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628265.9%54 W · 28 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x63fc…4a6cbacked Over48c86.25$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4b3…6d25backed Under25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb36…ff34backed Over75c80$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc28…e008backed Under27c78$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+85.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf639…2608backed Over73c77.96$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over56c75.25$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.141,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under29c70.76$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9314744.9%66 W · 81 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd587…6817backed Under29c70$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+75.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fe0…1eb8backed Over71c70$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x737a…e04abacked Over70c69$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf901…7b0cbacked Under30c69$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+71.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under46c66.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.710949.5%54 W · 55 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over54c61.11$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3325742%108 W · 149 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over70c59$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.31,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3d…61febacked Over50c58.62$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.31812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.41per pick54cpaid-79.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xce49…d7a1backed Under19c58.4$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b99…8f62backed Over38c52.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce80…c5efbacked Over24c50.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.961127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d4b…802bbacked Under20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403070%21 W · 9 L+7.7wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+78.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4077056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99c4…0cccbacked Over70c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under55c48.27$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7234847.4%165 W · 183 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked Under30c48.13$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.691450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258645.3%39 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59d7…f69dbacked Over69c43.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over70c43.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1510158.4%59 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under42c41.33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8669352.2%362 W · 331 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Over73c40$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.25862.1%36 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f38…afa0backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Under27c39.37$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.893948.7%19 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Over69c37.04$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.567647.4%36 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155156.9%29 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Over69c33.43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.071323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-63.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under41c33.21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5589245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Over79c32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.127762.3%48 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Under65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7711141.4%46 W · 65 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Over71c28.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013666.2%90 W · 46 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Over51c27.38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.964250%21 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over70c27.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.041,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over70c20.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5111145.9%51 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc468…530fbacked Over55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over70c17.07$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.876051.7%31 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb985…cf92backed Over71c14.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.