TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Beijing Guoan FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,506
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,628

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,506 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Over36c4,242$1,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,541.892,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6bf…16b9backed Under76c3,936$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9362832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Under48c3,903$1,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,029.635250%26 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over44c3,262$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.975,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Under47c1,642$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.893855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under53c1,560$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.976845.6%31 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1556…b722backed Over34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over47c1,129$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.682,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under47c1,088$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.5534847.4%165 W · 183 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38010823.1%25 W · 83 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c899.97$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.481,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over30c856.02$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.332,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under53c799.99$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37810158.4%59 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f39…311abacked Over50c751.73$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.872445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+80%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Over51c637.06$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.963834.2%13 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Over48c604.39$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.113040%12 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007837.2%29 W · 49 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa739…19c8backed Over45c525.44$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.4550%0 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over46c515.34$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.866642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57ef…044abacked Under48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2603246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over54c441.35$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.3311849.2%58 W · 60 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96f4…32e8backed Over45c429.78$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe78…edacbacked Over49c410.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Under49c399.97$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.996341.3%26 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under63c397.64$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.833574.3%26 W · 9 L+8.7wins+0.25per pick49cpaid+52.2%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under52c371.56$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.351,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over47c354.02$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.3914429.2%42 W · 102 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under49c299.99$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.4953946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under53c283.01$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.013852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under51c271.11$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.4926136.8%96 W · 165 L-18.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3936…c1c8backed Under66c230.22$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c227.98$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.839747.4%46 W · 51 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Under50c212$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1062759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under72c210.08$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0213048.5%63 W · 67 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over50c208.26$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.3619751.8%102 W · 95 L+15.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under51c200$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9911839.8%47 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77f3…f487backed Under66c197.05$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.052864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014144%62 W · 79 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Under65c154.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1233452.7%176 W · 158 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16bd…ed47backed Over50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under53c139.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7914446.5%67 W · 77 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over33c134.46$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3821652.3%113 W · 103 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd176…78bbbacked Over49c123.84$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.68944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65c5…7ba3backed Over24c99.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under53c99.98$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9934050.9%173 W · 167 L+19.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under54c99.98$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9932654%176 W · 150 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under47c98.74$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9228253.5%151 W · 131 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over52c94$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8827639.5%109 W · 167 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3146…d153backed Under63c91.18$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-45.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over32c83.11$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2725742%108 W · 149 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under52c78.37$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.62850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over48c78.29$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5839561.8%244 W · 151 L+56.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+33.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x58e4…3876backed Under72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.444566.7%30 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31c7…eca3backed Over53c67.65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over50c66.42$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2192835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Over47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-63.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x59d7…f69dbacked Over47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Over40c55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224663%29 W · 17 L+7.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+49.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Over47c54.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.447647.4%36 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over44c53.95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.951,30956.8%743 W · 566 L+66.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under53c52.41$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6414744.9%66 W · 81 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under45c50.91$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2836352.9%192 W · 171 L-1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3300…ead7backed Under78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over36c44.58$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1611433.3%38 W · 76 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe49f…1120backed Under66c44.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.15771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over37c43.59$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168645.3%39 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffa3…08f0backed Over48c41.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.151650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over47c41.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7311145.9%51 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Under53c41.32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.428243.9%36 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under47c41.26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8740550.6%205 W · 200 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Over47c40.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8916647.6%79 W · 87 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Over52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.85862.1%36 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x259b…a2d3backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205648.2%27 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over47c39.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.381,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x911c…87bcbacked Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.74757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203030%9 W · 21 L-7.7wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-53.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over47c36.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.036051.7%31 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Under57c35.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.082045%9 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over43c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.058347%39 W · 44 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under61c34.77$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.537153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.49350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1518646.2%86 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over53c28.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.219851%50 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e9c…5ea3backed Over53c27.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.781145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under49c27.39$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.972360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over39c26.86$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.57829.5%23 W · 55 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Over48c26.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.923956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked Under52c23.92$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.481450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32c6…bf45backed Under52c23.08$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99c4…0cccbacked Under50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f43…a070backed Under55c21.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.494100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over51c20.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6915850%79 W · 79 L-14.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3e97…8908backed Over51c20.22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.352420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-58.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d4b…802bbacked Under53c18.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.873070%21 W · 9 L+7.7wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+78.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x31e0…1d15backed Under66c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.44580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Under75c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47762.3%48 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.